Part of: Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will hit $60,000 or $80,000 first before December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. PolySpotter is tracking $10,146 in smart money activity, including a recent sharp cluster buying the $60k outcome. If neither level is reached by the deadline, the market resolves 50–50.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,559.

Categories: Crypto, Bitcoin, Crypto Prices, Hit First

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster buying $60k

Three wallets sold $80k within two minutes during a 243x volume spike, including two bettors with strong win rates, signaling coordinated conviction against Bitcoin reaching $80k first.

  • Three wallets moved together in two minutes for $10.1k total as volume spiked 243x above normal.
  • Two of these bettors have strong records: one wins 77% of 74 resolved bets, another wins 89% of 122.
  • Selling $80k at 79¢ is equivalent to buying $60k around 21¢, a cheap contrarian entry versus a market pricing $80k first at 78%.

$10,146 on $60k

92% win-rate bettor

A small but fresh $80k buy from a bettor with a 92% hit rate and strong edge is worth surfacing despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 92% of their resolved trades and has beaten market odds by a wide margin.
  • They just bought $80k at 57¢ after the market fell 23 points over the past week.
  • This is a fresh position after previously closing both sides of this market, not routine profit-taking.

$2,413 on $80k | Wallet win rate: 92%

90% win-rate sharp

A bettor with an exceptional 90% win rate and strong edge is buying the $80k side after a sharp weekly selloff, making this a worthwhile sharp-follow alert despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades with 59 bets tracked and a strong record buying around 48¢
  • They bought $80k first at 55¢ after this market fell 21 points in a week, suggesting they see the pullback as mispriced
  • The market is liquid enough to follow, with a tight 1¢ spread and entry close to current pricing

$1,000 on $80k | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0x61ee...932c — Outcome 24333473, $33,881 (64% win rate)
  2. 0xe838...92fb — Outcome 24333473, $29,129
  3. 0x744c...e37f — Outcome 24333473, $26,935 (79% win rate)
  4. 0x2d7b...c33a — Outcome 24333473, $12,901 (92% win rate)
  5. 0x2fd7...94db — Outcome 24333473, $12,037
  6. 0x1cc2...aa59 — Outcome 24333473, $11,197
  7. 0xc2cf...c231 — Outcome 24333473, $10,000
  8. 0x9384...56fe — Outcome 24333473, $9,361
  9. 0x524c...94ec — Outcome 24333473, $7,811
  10. 0x102a...c34d — Outcome 24333473, $7,587

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

220dWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$13,559 tracked3 signalsCryptoBitcoinCrypto PricesHit First

This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Bitcoin’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Bitcoin’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

26d ago

$10,146 on $60k at 21¢

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

43d ago

$2,413 on $80k at 57¢

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

45d ago

$1,000 on $80k at 55¢