What source determines whether BTC hits $75,000?

The market uses Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle High prices as the resolution source. Price action before the market was created does not count.

When does this Bitcoin prediction market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027, after the December 31, 2026 deadline has passed.

What does the smart money signal mean for this BTC market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $1,000 in smart money activity and one signal for this market. The recent alert says an 81% winner faded the BTC target, meaning a historically successful trader took a position against Bitcoin reaching $75,000 under the market rules.

Where can I track Bitcoin $75K Polymarket odds?

You can follow this market on PolySpotter to monitor Polymarket odds, smart money positioning, and alerts related to whether Bitcoin reaches $75,000 by the end of 2026.

Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

Q: Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

This market resolves to Yes if any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle has a final High price of $75,000 or higher between the market’s creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. If that does not happen, it resolves to No.

This prediction market asks whether Bitcoin will reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026, based on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high prices after the market’s creation. It resolves after the deadline on January 1, 2027, and PolySpotter is tracking $1,000 in smart money activity, including one recent signal noting that an 81% winner faded the BTC target.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,000.

Categories: Bitcoin, Yearly, Hit Price, Crypto Prices, Crypto

Notable Trades

81% winner fades BTC target

A proven 81% win-rate cross-market bettor is taking the No side while positioning across seven related Bitcoin target markets with over $102k in exposure.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $33k lifetime across 182 outcomes.
They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 127 events and over $1.1M total traded.
This is part of a larger seven-market Bitcoin thesis totaling $102k, not a one-off bet.

$1,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%