Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

This Bitcoin prediction market asks whether BTC will reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026. It resolves Yes if any Binance BTC/USDT one-minute candle records a High of at least $75,000 before the deadline; the provided metadata does not include a live Yes/No price.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,143.

Categories: Bitcoin, Yearly, Hit Price, Crypto Prices, Crypto

Notable Trades

Profitable BTC range trader

A historically profitable high-volume wallet is continuing a large cross-market BTC thesis, with $261k deployed across 8 related markets.

  • This wallet is up about $930k lifetime across 1,679 resolved bets.
  • They have built a $261k position across 8 related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a broader BTC price thesis.
  • Entry at 45¢ implies a little over 2x upside if Bitcoin reaches the target.

$8,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 51%

Profitable BTC range trader

A historically profitable high-volume wallet is continuing a large cross-market BTC thesis, with $261k deployed across 8 related markets.

  • This wallet is up about $930k lifetime across 1,679 resolved bets.
  • They have built a $261k position across 8 related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a broader BTC price thesis.
  • Entry at 45¢ implies a little over 2x upside if Bitcoin reaches the target.

$2,023 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 51%

Profitable BTC range trader

A historically profitable high-volume wallet is continuing a large cross-market BTC thesis, with $261k deployed across 8 related markets.

  • This wallet is up about $930k lifetime across 1,679 resolved bets.
  • They have built a $261k position across 8 related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a broader BTC price thesis.
  • Entry at 45¢ implies a little over 2x upside if Bitcoin reaches the target.

$3,579 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 51%

Profitable BTC range trader

A historically profitable high-volume wallet is continuing a large cross-market BTC thesis, with $261k deployed across 8 related markets.

  • This wallet is up about $930k lifetime across 1,679 resolved bets.
  • They have built a $261k position across 8 related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a broader BTC price thesis.
  • Entry at 45¢ implies a little over 2x upside if Bitcoin reaches the target.

$5,505 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 51%

81% winner fades BTC target

A proven 81% win-rate cross-market bettor is taking the No side while positioning across seven related Bitcoin target markets with over $102k in exposure.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $33k lifetime across 182 outcomes.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 127 events and over $1.1M total traded.
  • This is part of a larger seven-market Bitcoin thesis totaling $102k, not a one-off bet.

$1,400 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable BTC range trader

A historically profitable high-volume wallet is continuing a large cross-market BTC thesis, with $261k deployed across 8 related markets.

  • This wallet is up about $930k lifetime across 1,679 resolved bets.
  • They have built a $261k position across 8 related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a broader BTC price thesis.
  • Entry at 45¢ implies a little over 2x upside if Bitcoin reaches the target.

$1,853 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 51%

Profitable serial crypto trader

Surfacing because a highly experienced, profitable cross-market trader bought Yes on a relatively quiet BTC threshold market with meaningful size.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 71% wins across 3,662 resolved bets and $224k lifetime profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 75 events with over $324k in detected related positioning.
  • This $3.7k Yes buy was large for the market, equal to about 62% of recent 24h volume.

$3,683 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%

81% winner fades BTC target

A proven 81% win-rate cross-market bettor is taking the No side while positioning across seven related Bitcoin target markets with over $102k in exposure.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $33k lifetime across 182 outcomes.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 127 events and over $1.1M total traded.
  • This is part of a larger seven-market Bitcoin thesis totaling $102k, not a one-off bet.

$1,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0x744c...e37f Outcome 71940078, $32,415 (88% win rate)
  2. 0xe879...6d22 Outcome 71940078, $13,787 (82% win rate)
  3. 0xbca5...8727 Outcome 71940078, $9,894
  4. 0xa49b...7054 Outcome 71940078, $2,760 (67% win rate)
  5. 0x234e...240b Outcome 71940078, $1,766 (68% win rate)
  6. 0xfa03...8916 Outcome 71940078, $1,680 (43% win rate)
  7. 0x7abd...210d Outcome 71940078, $1,611
  8. 0xf27d...e6d3 Outcome 71940078, $1,505 (24% win rate)
  9. 0xd931...6115 Outcome 71940078, $1,411 (34% win rate)
  10. 0x6f02...0b2e Outcome 71940078, $1,280

Related Theses

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Bitcoin reaches $110K, skips lower targets

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Argentina France or Portugal wins

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Bitcoin avoids mid-June range

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 16 related markets

Covers 6 related markets

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

130dWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?$27,143 tracked8 signalsBitcoinYearlyHit PriceCrypto PricesCrypto

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Price History — “Yes
102¢
70¢
39¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

3d ago

$8,100 on Yes at 45¢

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

7d ago

$2,023 on Yes at 45¢

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

27d ago

$3,579 on Yes at 45¢

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

32d ago

$5,505 on Yes at 45¢

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

38d ago

$1,400 on No at 37¢

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

52d ago

$1,853 on Yes at 45¢

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

66d ago

$3,683 on Yes at 62¢

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?

67d ago

$1,000 on No at 37¢

Related Theses