What does the Bitcoin $75,000 in May prediction market cover?

This market predicts whether Bitcoin will trade at or above $75,000 during May 2026, using the BTC/USDT high price from Binance 1-minute candles after the market was created.

How does this Polymarket resolve to Yes?

It resolves to Yes if any qualifying Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle has a final High price equal to or greater than $75,000 before 11:59 PM ET on the last day of May.

What happens if Bitcoin reached $75,000 before this market was created?

Price action before the market’s creation does not count. Only Binance BTC/USDT candle highs after the market was created are considered for resolution.

When does the Bitcoin $75K in May market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve after the May trading window closes, with the listed resolution date of June 1, 2026 at 04:00 UTC.

What smart money activity is tracked for this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $2,759 in smart-money activity and 1 smart-money signal, including alerts from profitable crypto and cross-market traders.

Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?

This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) will reach $75,000 during May 2026, based on Binance 1-minute candle high prices after the market’s creation. It resolves to Yes if any eligible Binance candle high is at least $75,000 before 11:59 PM ET on May 31; otherwise it resolves No, with final resolution expected June 1, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $2,759 in smart-money activity and 1 smart-money signal for this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,265.

Categories: Bitcoin, Monthly, Hit Price, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring

Notable Trades

Profitable crypto range trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader is taking a coordinated No position across related Bitcoin May price-target markets.

This bettor is up $576k lifetime across nearly 1,600 resolved markets.
They have traded 6 related Bitcoin markets in this event, putting $75k behind the same broader thesis.
Buying No at 72¢ suggests they see Bitcoin staying below $75k in May as underpriced.

$2,759 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial crypto trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader with $576k lifetime P&L is buying No while positioning across six related Bitcoin markets.

This bettor is up $576k lifetime across 1,598 resolved bets.
They have placed $76k across 6 related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a broader bearish thesis.
Buying No at 73¢ aligns with the market’s sharp move lower, with Yes down 25 points today.

$1,438 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial crypto trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader with $556k lifetime P&L is buying No as part of a larger $77.9k Bitcoin event position.

This bettor is up $556k lifetime across 1,594 resolved trades.
They have traded 69 related events before and are now positioned across 6 Bitcoin markets worth $77.9k.
Buying No at 71¢ suggests conviction that Bitcoin stays below $75,000 through May.

$2,009 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial cross-market trader

Profitable high-volume wallet with a long cross-market track record is adding to a broader $74k thesis across six related Bitcoin markets.

This bettor is up $556k lifetime across 1,594 resolved trades.
They have a broad $74k position across 6 related markets, suggesting a coordinated Bitcoin price thesis.
Entry at 66¢ on No implies they see Bitcoin staying below $75k in May as underpriced.

$1,080 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial crypto trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader is taking a No position as part of a much larger Bitcoin event thesis across six related markets.

This bettor is up $556K lifetime across 1,594 resolved trades.
They have traded 69 events and are now positioning across 6 related Bitcoin markets worth $77K total.
Buying No at 66¢ suggests a high-conviction view that Bitcoin will not touch $75K in May.

$1,980 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%