Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 13-19?

This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will reach $78,000 at any point from April 13 through April 19, 2026. It resolves to Yes if any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle in that window posts a high of $78,000 or more; otherwise it resolves to No. Traders watching Bitcoin prediction market odds can use this market to gauge short-term sentiment around a weekly BTC price breakout.

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,291.

Categories: Crypto, Recurring, Hit Price, Crypto Prices, Bitcoin, Weekly

Notable Trades

94% win-rate sharp bettor

A bettor with an exceptional long-term track record is taking the bullish side of this Bitcoin target market at an implied 17% price, making this worth surfacing despite only one signal.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their trades across 646 resolved markets and is up $68k.
  • Their sell of No at 83¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 17¢, a cheap entry on a liquid crypto market.
  • The market is already down 8 points in a day, so this trade stands out as a contrarian call from a proven winner.

$2,291 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5360...1f6f — Yes, $9,000
  2. 0xd561...9b7b — No, $5,224
  3. 0xcc50...4c82 — No, $4,889 (40% win rate)
  4. 0xeee9...7ecb — Yes, $3,807
  5. 0xc4b2...9a9b — No, $3,401 (87% win rate)
  6. 0x104a...5b05 — Yes, $2,983 (77% win rate)
  7. 0x7168...e537 — No, $2,919 (34% win rate)
  8. 0xd4aa...d40c — Yes, $2,549
  9. 0xb758...dd73 — Yes, $2,480
  10. 0x14e2...282f — Yes, $2,439 (80% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 13-19?

2d$2,291 tracked1 signalCryptoRecurringHit PriceCrypto PricesHide From NewBitcoinWeekly
Yes
68¢
No
32¢

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Price History — “Yes”
75¢
40¢
6¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 13-19?

22h ago

$2,291 on Yes at 17¢

17¢→68¢↑51¢

Related Theses

Wallet_0x5fdf5 trades 2 related markets
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Bitcoin $78,000 by Apr 19 Prediction Market Odds | PolySpotter