Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 6-12?
This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will reach $78,000 at any point from April 6-12, based on a Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle posting a high of at least $78,000. The market resolves to Yes as soon as that threshold is hit during the window; otherwise it resolves No after the period ends. Current traders are pricing the odds of a BTC move to $78K during that week.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,649.
Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Weekly, Hit Price
Notable Trades
Sharp BTC range trader
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a 78% win rate is rotating into a fresh bullish BTC range position by selling No, effectively buying Yes at 13¢ after previously closing a small higher-priced No stake.
- This bettor has won 795 of 1,019 resolved markets and is up about $308k lifetime
- Selling No at 87¢ is the same as buying Yes at 13¢, a low-priced swing on a BTC target market
- This wallet trades across many related crypto markets with a 78% win rate over 30 events
$1,649 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0x5360...1f6f — Yes, $29,143
- 0x6e1d...d0fa — No, $21,849 (59% win rate)
- 0x6294...33f3 — No, $6,221
- 0xda6b...a403 — Yes, $5,094 (33% win rate)
- 0x21c5...3533 — No, $4,500
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Yes, $3,443
- 0xcc50...4c82 — Yes, $2,868 (36% win rate)
- 0xbc0c...441c — No, $2,397
- 0x1247...9ce9 — No, $1,499
- 0xaabb...0ac6 — No, $1,300
