What does the Bitcoin $78,000 on May 20 market predict?

It predicts whether Bitcoin’s BTC/USDT price on Binance will reach a high of at least $78,000 at any point during May 20, measured using 1-minute candles.

How does this Polymarket resolve?

The market resolves to Yes if any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle on May 20 between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM ET has a final High price equal to or above $78,000. If not, it resolves to No.

What is the resolution source for the Bitcoin $78K market?

The official resolution source is Binance, specifically BTC/USDT High prices on the 1-minute chart.

When does the Bitcoin $78,000 May 20 market resolve?

The market can resolve Yes immediately if Bitcoin hits $78,000 during the May 20 window. Otherwise, it is scheduled to resolve after the window closes, with the listed resolution date of May 21, 2026.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking for this market?

PolySpotter is tracking $2,490 in smart money and 1 smart money signal for this market, including alerts tied to profitable serial crypto and cross-market traders.

Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit on May 20?

Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 20?

This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will reach or exceed $78,000 on May 20, based on any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM ET. It resolves Yes immediately if the $78,000 level is hit; otherwise it resolves No after the trading window closes, with final resolution dated May 21, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $2,490 in smart money and 1 smart money signal, including activity from profitable crypto and cross-market traders.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,081.

Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Daily, Today 🚀, Hit Price

Notable Trades

Profitable serial crypto trader

A high-volume serial cross-market trader with positive lifetime P&L bought Yes after a major price breakout on a short-dated Bitcoin threshold market.

This bettor has traded 2,144 resolved markets and is up about $296K lifetime.
They have a long pattern across 157 events, with $2.6M in related cross-market activity tracked.
The Yes price jumped about 42¢ from its prior range, suggesting strong momentum behind this entry.

$2,490 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable serial cross-market trader

Seasoned profitable cross-market trader is adding a No position on a BTC touch market, with the price already moving in their favor from 81¢ to 84¢.

This trader has bet across 157 events and is up about $296K lifetime.
They bought No at 81¢ and the market has already moved to 84¢.
The wallet is active across related BTC markets, suggesting a broader directional thesis.

$2,591 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%

Top Holders

0xbc1f...7631 — Outcome 18572446, $4,300 (74% win rate)
0x9473...3b20 — Outcome 18572446, $4,132 (99% win rate)
0x56e0...6332 — Outcome 18572446, $3,950
0xf61f...3ce1 — Outcome 10124674, $1,024
0x3d77...7004 — Outcome 18572446, $700
0x5c7c...1ebd — Outcome 18572446, $334
0x7544...4fd9 — Outcome 18572446, $301
0xf023...8e33 — Outcome 10124674, $178
0xb5a8...1fd5 — Outcome 18572446, $150
0xa987...5767 — Outcome 18572446, $142

Related Theses

Bitcoin stays in 75K-85K range

Covers 6 related markets

Covers 9 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 20?

1hWhat price will Bitcoin hit on May 20?$5,081 tracked2 signalsCryptoCrypto PricesRecurringHide From NewBitcoinDailyToday 🚀Hit Price

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.