Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit April 20-26?
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,581.
Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Weekly, Hit Price
Notable Trades
Profitable BTC event specialist
A high-volume crypto specialist with 1,299 resolved bets and $366k profit is adding to a cross-market Bitcoin thesis during a 42.6x volume spike, making this flow worth watching despite the modest single-trade size.
- This bettor has 1,299 resolved bets and is up $366k overall.
- They traded 3 related Bitcoin markets in this event and have done this across 83 events.
- The market saw a 42.6x volume spike, and they bought No at 88¢ with the price now around 91¢.
$4,606 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%
81% win-rate BTC bear
An 81% win-rate bettor bought nearly $7k of No in a BTC target market during a 47x volume spike, making this a modest but followable signal despite the middling composite score.
- This bettor wins 81% of their resolved trades and is up $13.3k overall.
- They bought nearly $7k of No at 84¢ while this market was seeing a 47x jump in activity.
- The market is liquid enough that this looks like a deliberate view, not a random tiny punt.
$6,919 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
Repeat new wallet whale
A very new wallet has repeatedly placed sizable bets and is again taking a bullish BTC touch position by effectively buying Yes around 19¢, suggesting ongoing conviction despite limited track record.
- This new wallet has already been flagged 5 times with about $10.9k in notable bets, so this is not a one-off trade
- The trade sells No at 81¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes at 19¢ on Bitcoin touching $80k this week
- The market is active but not crowded, and the trader is taking a cheap upside shot after the Yes price jumped 11.2 points in a day
$2,096 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Repeat new wallet whale
A very new wallet has repeatedly put meaningful size into Polymarket and is again taking a fresh BTC upside position by selling No at 83¢, a notable conviction bet even without a long track record.
- This very new wallet has already been flagged 4 times for large bets, with about $8.8k in total size
- This trade effectively buys Yes at 17¢, showing a clear bullish view on Bitcoin hitting $80k this week
- The market is fairly liquid, so a $2.2k trade here looks like deliberate conviction rather than random noise
$2,154 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable BTC breakout buyer
A highly active, profitable cross-market trader bought into a sharp Bitcoin breakout, suggesting momentum-following conviction rather than routine flow.
- This wallet has 1,292 resolved bets and is up $348.8k overall
- They bought $7.8k of Yes at 77¢ as this market broke far above its prior range and jumped 36 points
- The market is active but not huge, and the price is still near their entry at 80¢
$7,805 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%
Top Holders
- 0x3c35...feeb — Outcome 91360396, $27,024
- 0x7816...ce35 — Outcome 91360396, $18,801
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 91360396, $10,300
- 0x3234...f52b — Outcome 91360396, $2,451
- 0xda6b...a403 — Outcome 91360396, $1,376 (24% win rate)
- 0x250c...2774 — Outcome 91360396, $600
- 0xa319...9e56 — Outcome 91360396, $517 (91% win rate)
- 0x14db...0f89 — Outcome 91360396, $400
- 0x5380...9592 — Outcome 91360396, $392
- 0x6f02...0b2e — Outcome 91360396, $300
Related Theses
Bitcoin holds 75K, tops at 80K
Covers 8 related markets
Bitcoin stays between $76K-$80K
Covers 5 related markets
Bitcoin stays below $74K
Covers 2 related markets
