Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit April 20-26?

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,581.

Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Weekly, Hit Price

Notable Trades

Profitable BTC event specialist

A high-volume crypto specialist with 1,299 resolved bets and $366k profit is adding to a cross-market Bitcoin thesis during a 42.6x volume spike, making this flow worth watching despite the modest single-trade size.

This bettor has 1,299 resolved bets and is up $366k overall.
They traded 3 related Bitcoin markets in this event and have done this across 83 events.
The market saw a 42.6x volume spike, and they bought No at 88¢ with the price now around 91¢.

$4,606 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%

81% win-rate BTC bear

An 81% win-rate bettor bought nearly $7k of No in a BTC target market during a 47x volume spike, making this a modest but followable signal despite the middling composite score.

This bettor wins 81% of their resolved trades and is up $13.3k overall.
They bought nearly $7k of No at 84¢ while this market was seeing a 47x jump in activity.
The market is liquid enough that this looks like a deliberate view, not a random tiny punt.

$6,919 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

Repeat new wallet whale

A very new wallet has repeatedly placed sizable bets and is again taking a bullish BTC touch position by effectively buying Yes around 19¢, suggesting ongoing conviction despite limited track record.

This new wallet has already been flagged 5 times with about $10.9k in notable bets, so this is not a one-off trade
The trade sells No at 81¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes at 19¢ on Bitcoin touching $80k this week
The market is active but not crowded, and the trader is taking a cheap upside shot after the Yes price jumped 11.2 points in a day

$2,096 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Repeat new wallet whale

A very new wallet has repeatedly put meaningful size into Polymarket and is again taking a fresh BTC upside position by selling No at 83¢, a notable conviction bet even without a long track record.

This very new wallet has already been flagged 4 times for large bets, with about $8.8k in total size
This trade effectively buys Yes at 17¢, showing a clear bullish view on Bitcoin hitting $80k this week
The market is fairly liquid, so a $2.2k trade here looks like deliberate conviction rather than random noise

$2,154 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable BTC breakout buyer

A highly active, profitable cross-market trader bought into a sharp Bitcoin breakout, suggesting momentum-following conviction rather than routine flow.

This wallet has 1,292 resolved bets and is up $348.8k overall
They bought $7.8k of Yes at 77¢ as this market broke far above its prior range and jumped 36 points
The market is active but not huge, and the price is still near their entry at 80¢

$7,805 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%