What does this Bitcoin prediction market measure?

It measures whether Bitcoin trades at or above $81,000 on April 22. Specifically, the market looks at Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data and resolves Yes if any candle's final high reaches $81,000 or more during the day.

How is this market resolved?

Resolution is based on Binance BTC/USDT price data. If any 1-minute candle between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on April 22 has a final high of at least $81,000, the outcome is Yes; if not, the outcome is No.

When does the market resolve?

The market is set to resolve on April 23, 2026, after the full April 22 trading window has passed and the Binance candle data can be confirmed.

Does Bitcoin need to close above $81,000 for Yes to win?

No. Bitcoin does not need to close above $81,000. A single Binance 1-minute candle with a high at or above $81,000 is enough for the market to resolve Yes.

Why are traders watching this Polymarket?

Searchers and traders use this market to gauge short-term sentiment on Bitcoin price action for the day. It offers a simple way to follow market-implied odds on whether BTC can spike to $81,000 before April 22 ends.

Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on April 22?

This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will reach $81,000 at any point on April 22, using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle highs as the resolution source. The market resolves to Yes if any 1-minute candle between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET posts a high of at least $81,000; otherwise it resolves to No. Resolution is scheduled for April 23, 2026, after the trading day ends.

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,062.

Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Daily, Today 🚀, Hit Price

Notable Trades

91% win-rate BTC bettor

A proven high-volume bettor with a 91% win rate and nearly $2.0M profit bought No on a same-day BTC target market at 87¢, making this a credible sharp-flow signal despite only one detection flag.

This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up nearly $2.0M across 868 resolved bets
They bought No at 87¢ and the market has already moved to 91¢, suggesting the entry was strong
This wallet has traded 228 markets across 174 events, so this looks like a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet

$5,062 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%