Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit in May?
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
42 smart money signals detected, totaling $172,993.
Categories: Bitcoin, Monthly, Hit Price, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
Sharp BTC bettor buying longshot
Sharp wallet with an 89% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought a cheap Yes position on a liquid BTC milestone market.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up about $14.9K lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 6¢, a longshot entry with large upside if BTC spikes before month-end.
- The wallet has been flagged repeatedly, suggesting this is part of an ongoing profitable pattern.
$2,420 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable BTC range trader
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader is adding a small Yes position as part of a broader $131k Bitcoin range thesis across six related markets.
- This bettor is up $308k lifetime across more than 2,000 resolved trades.
- They have traded 172 related events and are positioning across 6 markets in this Bitcoin set.
- Entry at 6¢ is a long-shot bet, but the wallet appears to be expressing a broader BTC range view.
$1,371 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable BTC positioner
Profitable wallet with $316k lifetime P&L is making a cheap upside BTC bet while carrying nearly $40k across related markets.
- This bettor is up $316k lifetime on $871k invested, despite a modest 58% win rate.
- They have nearly $40k positioned across related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a broader BTC thesis.
- Entry at 7¢ is a long-shot bet with roughly 14x payout if Bitcoin touches $85k in May.
$3,735 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%
83% winner buying NO
Sharp crypto bettor with an 83% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is adding a cross-market No position against BTC reaching $85k in May.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $88k lifetime.
- They have put $19.6k across 3 related BTC markets, showing a broader bearish thesis.
- Buying No at 90¢ suggests they see the 8–9% Yes price as still too high.
$7,265 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
92% win-rate serial sharp
Surfacing because a highly proven serial cross-market trader with 92% win rate and +$2.38M P&L bought No at 90¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.38M lifetime.
- They are a huge serial cross-market trader, with $4.4M placed across 485 markets.
- They bought No at 90¢, backing Bitcoin not reaching $85,000 in May despite already-heavy No pricing.
$9,900 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
Sharp serial crypto trader
Sharp serial cross-market crypto bettor with a 76% win rate is reducing No exposure, equivalent to a bullish Yes entry at 11¢.
- This bettor has won 76% of 1,150 resolved trades and is up about $299K lifetime.
- They are active across 4 related Bitcoin markets with nearly $28K in this event.
- Selling No at 89¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 11¢, though this may be reducing an existing No position.
$4,898 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable cross-market BTC trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader is taking the No side as part of a larger 4-market Bitcoin thesis, with a long history of crypto/event positioning and positive lifetime P&L.
- This bettor is up about $402K lifetime across more than 1,500 resolved trades.
- They have traded 57 related events and are now positioned across 4 markets in this Bitcoin event.
- Buying No at 89¢ suggests a high-conviction view that Bitcoin will not hit the target in May.
$2,209 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%
92% winner buying NO
Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and +$74k lifetime P&L bought $3.9k of No despite only a weak detection signal.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $74k lifetime.
- They put $3.9k on No at 90¢, aligning with the current market view that Bitcoin will not hit $85k in May.
- The wallet has nearly $953k in past invested volume, so this is backed by a meaningful track record.
$3,868 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
Profitable BTC cross-market whale
Profitable high-volume wallet is taking a coordinated cross-market Bitcoin thesis, with $91k spread across 6 related markets and a fresh Yes buy at 10¢.
- This bettor is up $322k lifetime across more than 2,000 resolved bets.
- They have $91k positioned across 6 related Bitcoin markets, suggesting a broader BTC rebound thesis.
- Entry at 10¢ is a long-shot bet that Bitcoin touches $85k before May ends.
$1,083 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%
Sharp cross-market crypto bettor
A profitable crypto wallet made a $10.9k No bet while showing repeated cross-market positioning in the same Bitcoin event.
- This bettor has won all 6 resolved bets shown and is up $1.5k.
- They put $10.9k on No while also positioning across related Bitcoin markets.
- Buying No at 90¢ shows strong conviction that Bitcoin stays below $85k in May.
$10,884 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xf7a1...9dce — Outcome 27263818, $377,182 (58% win rate)
- 0xaf34...dc6e — Outcome 27263818, $106,704 (7% win rate)
- 0xe190...0a5d — Outcome 27263818, $64,169
- 0xe339...e01b — Outcome 27263818, $48,347
- 0x00ac...e915 — Outcome 27263818, $47,079
- 0x2de7...89a4 — Outcome 27263818, $40,658
- 0x6a9e...27b9 — Outcome 27263818, $39,866
- 0x14f7...232c — Outcome 27263818, $25,472
- 0xa40a...fa62 — Outcome 27263818, $24,142 (47% win rate)
- 0xc4bb...240b — Outcome 27263818, $18,424
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