What is the Bitcoin $86,000 May 11-17 prediction market?

This market predicts whether Bitcoin will trade at or above $86,000 during the May 11-17 window. It uses Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high prices as the official resolution source.

How does this Polymarket resolve to Yes?

The market resolves to “Yes” if any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle from 12:00 AM ET on May 11 through 11:59 PM ET on May 17 has a final high price of $86,000 or higher.

When does the Bitcoin $86K market resolve?

If Bitcoin reaches $86,000 during the specified period, the market can resolve immediately to “Yes.” If it does not, it resolves to “No” after the window closes, with the listed resolution date of May 18, 2026.

What price source is used for this BTC market?

Resolution is based on Binance BTC/USDT high prices, specifically the final high shown on 1-minute candles on Binance.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking?

PolySpotter currently tracks $3,806 in smart money on this market, with one recent signal highlighted from a profitable serial BTC trader.

Part of: What price will Bitcoin hit May 11-17?

Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?

This Polymarket Bitcoin price market asks whether BTC will reach or exceed $86,000 at any point from May 11 through May 17, based on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high prices. It resolves “Yes” immediately if any qualifying candle high is at least $86,000; otherwise it resolves “No” after the window ends, with resolution scheduled for May 18, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $3,806 in smart money activity on this market, including one signal from a profitable serial BTC trader.

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,806.

Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Weekly, Hit Price

Notable Trades

Profitable serial BTC trader

Surface: this is a highly experienced cross-market Bitcoin bettor with a long profitable record buying No at 75¢ on the $86k touch market.

This bettor has traded 1,703 resolved markets and is up $340k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.27M tracked across 236 related markets.
Buying No at 75¢ says they are fading Bitcoin reaching $86k this week.

$3,806 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%