Part of: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-09-19?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $43,991.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Bundesliga
Notable Trades
Serial bettor buys No on volume spike
A highly active bettor with 2,483 resolved trades and positive lifetime P&L bought No during an extreme volume spike, though the market has since moved to 100% No.
- This bettor has won 75% of 2,483 resolved trades and is up $238,941 lifetime.
- They bought No at 84¢ during a 334x surge in 24-hour activity, and the price has since reached 100%.
- The wallet has traded across 194 events, but its 88¢ average winning entry suggests only moderate demonstrated pricing edge.
$1,976 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
Serial trader ahead of No surge
A highly active trader bought No before a 333x volume surge and the market subsequently moved from 84% to 100%, though the wallet’s historical edge is modest and it had previously held this position.
- This wallet has traded 4,563 resolved markets with a 77% win rate and $195,184 lifetime profit.
- The $6,500 No purchase preceded a 333x volume spike and a move from 84¢ to 100¢.
- The trader had already held No on this market, so this may be renewed conviction rather than a completely fresh thesis.
$6,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%
Large bettor doubles down on No
A $15,000 No bet aligned with a prior $17,862 No position and a major volume surge, though the wallet's 61% win rate is only moderately impressive relative to its average entry odds.
- This trader placed $15,000 on No after previously investing $17,862 in the same outcome, showing sustained conviction.
- The market saw a 333.8x volume spike across five trades, while No moved from roughly 66% to 100%.
- The wallet is up $182,860 across 2,293 resolved bets, but its 61% win rate does not establish a strong edge by itself.
$14,999 on No | Wallet win rate: 61%
Profitable bettor scales into Yes
A profitable serial cross-market trader made a large additional Yes purchase at 30%, followed by a sharp move to 50% and a major volume spike.
- This bettor is up $4.76M lifetime across 255 resolved markets and added $20,515 to Yes at 30¢.
- The purchase was followed by a 20-percentage-point rise to 50¢, alongside a major volume surge.
- The wallet already held a substantial Yes position, signaling increased conviction rather than a routine trade.
$20,515 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0x4be1...aa70 — Outcome 74550095, $99,032 (64% win rate)
- 0xeee1...c026 — Outcome 74550095, $10,000 (99% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 82427379, $2,973
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 74550095, $599 (64% win rate)
- 0xc15c...6122 — Outcome 74550095, $438
- 0xeddf...a953 — Outcome 74550095, $345
- 0x6ffd...a637 — Outcome 74550095, $244 (63% win rate)
- 0x5f84...67ef — Outcome 74550095, $200
- 0x3486...49ee — Outcome 74550095, $161 (97% win rate)
- 0x9930...696e — Outcome 74550095, $147
Related Theses
England advances in high-scoring shootout
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France or Spain win, not Argentina/England
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France will defeat England
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