A 5-hour-old wallet put $19.3k on Yes at 79¢ before the market moved to 100¢. The same wallet has $34.2k across 3 related event markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet. Market volume spiked 64x and Yes jumped 22 points, confirming strong momentum behind the trade.

Part of: Brazil vs. Morocco

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

16 smart money signals detected, totaling $265,492.

Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Fresh whale hit fast

A brand-new wallet made a large, concentrated Yes bet that immediately moved to 100%, with matching cross-market positioning and a major volume spike.

A 5-hour-old wallet put $19.3k on Yes at 79¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
The same wallet has $34.2k across 3 related event markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
Market volume spiked 64x and Yes jumped 22 points, confirming strong momentum behind the trade.

$19,276 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader put $13k on the draw before the market moved to 100%, alongside a major volume spike and 22-point price jump.

This bettor has 835 resolved trades, wins 64% of them, and is up $339k lifetime.
They put $13k on Yes at an average entry around 78¢ before it moved to 100¢.
This was part of a broader same-event position across 3 markets totaling about $39k.

$13,018 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%

10-wallet anti-draw cluster

High-scoring 10-wallet cluster is moving against the draw with $84k in No-equivalent flow, linked-wallet backing, and profitable high-volume bettors involved, though some volume is profit-taking from prior Yes positions.

10 wallets put $84k on No in the same window, pushing a clear anti-draw thesis.
Four linked wallets share the same funder, suggesting one larger actor is deploying coordinated capital.
Several profitable wallets are involved, including accounts up $590k and $1.4M lifetime.

$84,023 on No

Profitable linked-wallet draw buyer

High-scoring alert from a very profitable serial trader, backed by linked-wallet activity, cross-market positioning, and a major volume/price surge toward Yes.

This bettor is up $3.6M lifetime across a very large betting history.
Four linked wallets share the same funder and have $272k tied to this trading cluster.
The market has seen a 52.9x volume spike and Yes has jumped 53 points in the past day.

$2,974 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 55%

15-wallet draw-buying surge

High-score coordinated flow: 15 wallets bought the draw side for nearly $88k alongside a major volume spike and sharp price move.

15 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling about $87.9k in coordinated Yes flow.
Market volume spiked 21.6x and the Yes price is up 40 points over the past day.
This 21-hour-old wallet has now been flagged 3 times, with $5.5k in recent large bets.

$1,500 on Yes

15-wallet draw surge

High-score coordinated Yes flow: 15 wallets bought the draw side for $87.9k, alongside a brand-new repeat wallet and a major volume/price surge.

15 wallets bought the same side, totaling $87.9k on Yes.
A 10-hour-old wallet added $5k and has already been flagged twice.
Volume spiked 21.6x and Yes is up 40 points over the last day.

$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

15-wallet draw surge

Surfaced because 15 wallets pushed the same Yes side with $87.9k, alongside a major volume spike and 15-point price move, though this specific wallet has no resolved track record.

15 wallets bought the same side, putting $87.9k behind a draw outcome.
Volume spiked more than 20x while the Yes price jumped 15 percentage points.
This specific wallet is new and unproven, so the stronger signal is the broader one-sided flow.

$2,184 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%

Profitable serial trader joins No cluster

Profitable serial cross-market trader joined one-sided No flow amid a major volume spike and sharp price move against the draw.

This bettor has won 71% of 332 resolved bets and is up $48,655 lifetime.
Four wallets are all buying No, with $42,159 in same-direction flow.
The market has seen a 26.6x volume spike and No has moved to 58%, suggesting momentum against a draw.

$1,140 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought No on the draw market amid coordinated No flow and a large pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has traded 1,624 resolved markets and is up about $10.4M lifetime.
Four wallets are all buying No, totaling about $42K in one-sided flow.
This market’s volume is 26.6x above its usual pace, and No has already moved from 52¢ to 58¢.

$1,641 on No | Wallet win rate: 57%

Sharp cluster fading surge

A profitable cluster is taking the contrarian No side against a major draw-price surge, led by wallets with meaningful lifetime profits, though broader market flow is still strongly Yes.

A high-volume bettor with $1.4M lifetime profit bought No at 24¢, and No now trades around 36¢.
Three wallets are effectively on the No side at about 35¢ average entry, including another bettor up $78K lifetime.
This is a contrarian trade: the bigger recent flow is still toward Yes, so the edge is in fading the draw surge.

$6,664 on No

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 85466307, $884,639
0xf031...c80c — Outcome 85466307, $249,997 (90% win rate)
0x0346...52a5 — Outcome 85466307, $240,888 (53% win rate)
0xe653...c4a7 — Outcome 85466307, $57,500 (75% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 85466307, $55,818 (55% win rate)
0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 85466307, $44,918 (58% win rate)
0x040d...1a5e — Outcome 85466307, $11,926 (72% win rate)
0x3c32...3f1c — Outcome 85466307, $11,836
0x9602...4d02 — Outcome 85466307, $4,422 (84% win rate)
0x842a...7422 — Outcome 85466307, $3,378 (56% win rate)

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Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

ResolvedBrazil vs. Morocco$265,492 tracked16 signalsSoccerFIFA World CupSportsGames

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 13, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.