Part of: RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-08-16?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $57,504.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga

Notable Trades

Three-wallet surge into Osasuna Yes

Three wallets coordinated on Yes alongside a 48-point price surge and 22x volume spike, making this a notable directional move despite limited evidence of sharp bettor edge.

  • Three wallets bought $10,697 of Yes within minutes as the price surged 48 percentage points.
  • The market saw a 22x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually strong event-specific demand.
  • The wallets are profitable overall, but their win rates do not clearly exceed the odds they typically pay.

$10,697 on Yes

Sharp bettor buys Osasuna No

A highly proven bettor with an 89% win rate bought No at 79¢ amid a massive volume spike, signaling strong conviction that Osasuna will not win.

  • This bettor wins 89% of 2,583 resolved trades and is up $3.45 million.
  • The wallet bought No at 79¢, implying roughly 79% confidence Osasuna will not win.
  • Trading volume was 650 times its historical average while the Yes price fell 15% in one day.

$1,930 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

Sharp bettor leads four-wallet No cluster

A $43,165 one-sided No cluster combines a 197.7x volume spike with a proven bettor showing an 89% win rate and substantial positive edge.

  • A bettor with an 89% win rate and $3.45M lifetime profit bought No alongside three other wallets.
  • The four wallets invested $43,165 in No during a 197.7x volume spike, while No was priced around 79–80¢.
  • The trade is not close to resolution, making the concentrated early positioning more notable than routine last-minute betting.

$43,165 on No

Serial event trader buys No

A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with a 71% win rate made a fresh $1,712 bet on No amid an extreme event-specific volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 50,605 resolved trades and earned $5.77 million in P&L.
  • The wallet is active across 1,752 events and placed bets in three markets tied to this match, totaling $25,828.
  • Event-specific trading volume was 448 times the recent average, adding support to the No position despite the market already pricing No at 80%.

$1,712 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1660...5598 Outcome 61108377, $20,048 (91% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 61108377, $5,190 (65% win rate)
  3. 0x27f7...44b0 Outcome 61108377, $4,886 (89% win rate)
  4. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 61108377, $4,355
  5. 0x7ea5...de7b Outcome 61108377, $4,251 (62% win rate)
  6. 0x7236...ea53 Outcome 61108377, $4,000 (88% win rate)
  7. 0x47c7...cac7 Outcome 61108377, $3,136 (90% win rate)
  8. 0x2d6a...8add Outcome 61108377, $2,500 (59% win rate)
  9. 0xbb6a...1a00 Outcome 61108377, $2,313 (67% win rate)
  10. 0x1947...94bc Outcome 61108377, $2,000

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Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-08-16?

ResolvedRC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna$57,504 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLa Liga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 16, 2026 If CA Osasuna wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes
102¢
54¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-08-16?

15d ago

$10,697 on Yes at 83¢

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-08-16?

15d ago

$1,930 on No at 79¢

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-08-16?

15d ago

$43,165 on No at 80¢

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-08-16?

15d ago

$1,712 on No at 80¢

Related Theses