Part of: RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-08-16?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $57,504.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga
Notable Trades
Three-wallet surge into Osasuna Yes
Three wallets coordinated on Yes alongside a 48-point price surge and 22x volume spike, making this a notable directional move despite limited evidence of sharp bettor edge.
- Three wallets bought $10,697 of Yes within minutes as the price surged 48 percentage points.
- The market saw a 22x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually strong event-specific demand.
- The wallets are profitable overall, but their win rates do not clearly exceed the odds they typically pay.
$10,697 on Yes
Sharp bettor buys Osasuna No
A highly proven bettor with an 89% win rate bought No at 79¢ amid a massive volume spike, signaling strong conviction that Osasuna will not win.
- This bettor wins 89% of 2,583 resolved trades and is up $3.45 million.
- The wallet bought No at 79¢, implying roughly 79% confidence Osasuna will not win.
- Trading volume was 650 times its historical average while the Yes price fell 15% in one day.
$1,930 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%
Sharp bettor leads four-wallet No cluster
A $43,165 one-sided No cluster combines a 197.7x volume spike with a proven bettor showing an 89% win rate and substantial positive edge.
- A bettor with an 89% win rate and $3.45M lifetime profit bought No alongside three other wallets.
- The four wallets invested $43,165 in No during a 197.7x volume spike, while No was priced around 79–80¢.
- The trade is not close to resolution, making the concentrated early positioning more notable than routine last-minute betting.
$43,165 on No
Serial event trader buys No
A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with a 71% win rate made a fresh $1,712 bet on No amid an extreme event-specific volume spike.
- This bettor has won 71% of 50,605 resolved trades and earned $5.77 million in P&L.
- The wallet is active across 1,752 events and placed bets in three markets tied to this match, totaling $25,828.
- Event-specific trading volume was 448 times the recent average, adding support to the No position despite the market already pricing No at 80%.
$1,712 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%
Top Holders
- 0x1660...5598 — Outcome 61108377, $20,048 (91% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 61108377, $5,190 (65% win rate)
- 0x27f7...44b0 — Outcome 61108377, $4,886 (89% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 61108377, $4,355
- 0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 61108377, $4,251 (62% win rate)
- 0x7236...ea53 — Outcome 61108377, $4,000 (88% win rate)
- 0x47c7...cac7 — Outcome 61108377, $3,136 (90% win rate)
- 0x2d6a...8add — Outcome 61108377, $2,500 (59% win rate)
- 0xbb6a...1a00 — Outcome 61108377, $2,313 (67% win rate)
- 0x1947...94bc — Outcome 61108377, $2,000
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