Part of: CA Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-09-19?
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $57,873.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga
Notable Trades
Three-wallet No conviction cluster
Three wallets deployed $18,079 on No during a 133x volume spike, including a highly profitable long-term bettor, despite the position currently trading well below entry.
- Three wallets bought No for $18,079 during a volume spike 133 times the historical average.
- One participant has won 70% of 87,877 resolved bets and earned $7.2 million lifetime.
- The position moved from 63–67¢ to about 40¢, making this a notable but currently underwater contrarian thesis.
$18,079 on No
89% win-rate bettor buying Osasuna
A highly profitable bettor with an 89% win rate bought Osasuna Yes at 33¢ amid coordinated buying and a major volume spike, with the price already rising to 60¢.
- This bettor has won 89% of 621 resolved positions and is up $2.74 million.
- The wallet bought Yes at 33¢, while the market has since climbed to 60%, indicating strong early positioning.
- Three wallets bought Yes together as volume reached 133 times its historical average.
$1,465 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable serial bettor adds to Yes
A consistently profitable serial cross-market bettor is adding $1,991 to an existing Yes position at 34%, although the market is liquid and the trade is not fresh.
- This bettor has won 72% of 232 resolved trades and is up $107,082 lifetime.
- The wallet is scaling an existing Yes position, bringing its investment in Osasuna to roughly $7,850 at a 34¢ entry.
- The 34¢ price has fallen 12% over the week, so this is a notable value-oriented addition rather than momentum chasing.
$1,991 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
Profitable new wallet scaling into No
A highly active two-day-old wallet with a 100% resolved-bet win rate and $74,208 profit added a concentrated $34,335 No position, though its track record is still limited.
- This two-day-old wallet has placed 27 flagged bets and is up $74,208 overall.
- It added $34,335 to No at 63¢, with the position already marked up to 66%.
- The wallet is scaling into an existing No position in a relatively quiet market, signaling increased conviction.
$34,335 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
94% win-rate bettor buys Osasuna Yes
A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $2,003 purchase of Osasuna Yes at 38¢.
- This bettor has won 94% of 3,078 resolved positions and earned $1.53 million in profit.
- The $2,003 wager is a fresh purchase at 38¢, implying the bettor sees meaningful value in Osasuna winning.
- The wallet has traded across 684 markets and 644 events, providing unusually strong evidence beyond a single bet.
$2,003 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 42978840, $39,590 (58% win rate)
- 0x11c3...c90d — Outcome 42978840, $22,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x208c...6b98 — Outcome 42978840, $5,857 (72% win rate)
- 0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 42978840, $5,270 (94% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 69263038, $4,918
- 0x20b8...aa04 — Outcome 42978840, $4,163 (56% win rate)
- 0xcc2a...9563 — Outcome 42978840, $2,705
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 42978840, $1,810 (74% win rate)
- 0xc291...5d74 — Outcome 42978840, $1,780 (66% win rate)
- 0x99f0...9495 — Outcome 42978840, $1,756 (49% win rate)
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