Part of: CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-03?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 3, 2026 If CA Sarmiento wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $62,725.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Argentina Primera División
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor scales into No
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 78% win rate added substantially to an existing No position amid an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor wins 78% of 1,295 resolved trades and is up $1.6 million.
- They added to a $34,570 No position, buying another $1,390 at 48¢ as No later reached 72¢.
- The market saw a 5,043× surge versus its typical 24-hour volume, reinforcing the directional signal.
$1,105 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%
Sharp bettor leads No cluster
A highly profitable 78% win-rate wallet bought No at 48¢ and the outcome has since risen to 70¢, alongside $9,112 of one-sided No buying.
- This bettor wins 78% of trades and is up $1.6M lifetime, with a meaningful edge over average entry prices.
- The wallet bought No at 48¢; No is now priced around 70¢, indicating the position moved strongly in its favor.
- Three wallets committed $9,112 to No, creating concentrated one-sided sports-market flow.
$9,112 on No
Linked cluster backs Yes
A linked 10-wallet cluster deployed $40.7K on Yes, including a highly profitable 91% winner buying at 30–32¢, while the market surged to certainty.
- Ten linked wallets concentrated $40,677 on Yes, a strong coordinated directional signal.
- One participant wins 91% of 173 bets and bought Yes at 30–32¢ before the market reached 100%.
- The market jumped sharply from low prices to certainty, though the opportunity is no longer available at the original entry.
$40,677 on Yes
Sharp bettor scales into No
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 78% win rate added substantially to an existing No position amid an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor wins 78% of 1,295 resolved trades and is up $1.6 million.
- They added to a $34,570 No position, buying another $1,390 at 48¢ as No later reached 72¢.
- The market saw a 5,043× surge versus its typical 24-hour volume, reinforcing the directional signal.
$1,390 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%
90% win-rate bettor buys Sarmiento
A highly profitable serial trader with a 90% win rate made a concentrated $6.7K purchase at 32% amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades—151 of 167—and is up $2.0M lifetime.
- The $6,699 position is more than 150% of the market’s recent 24-hour volume.
- Bought Yes at 32% during an 876x volume spike, signaling strong conviction in Sarmiento’s chances.
$6,699 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
Serial trader buys No amid volume surge
A highly experienced, profitable serial cross-market trader made a concentrated No bet amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 72% of 10,951 resolved trades and is up $4.6 million lifetime.
- The $3,743 No bet accounts for nearly all recent market volume, signaling strong conviction despite the market’s 68% No price.
- The wallet has traded across 537 events and 1,173 markets, providing substantial evidence beyond a one-off wager.
$3,743 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%
Top Holders
- 0x7236...ea53 — No, $4,000 (88% win rate)
- 0x7ea5...de7b — No, $2,186 (64% win rate)
- 0xfb13...5946 — No, $1,200 (94% win rate)
- 0xe1e3...f1bd — No, $900 (77% win rate)
- 0x179b...2b82 — No, $732 (81% win rate)
- 0x03c6...3dd2 — No, $676
- 0x4bc5...e563 — No, $607 (59% win rate)
- 0x7a64...683e — No, $500
- 0x8e8d...acc4 — No, $475
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $414
Related Theses
Brazil wins low-scoring shutout
Covers 14 related markets
Paraguay fails to win
Covers 3 related markets
Austria routs Argentina after halftime
Covers 9 related markets
Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless
Covers 10 related markets
Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet
Covers 8 related markets
Ecuador wins big to nil
Covers 7 related markets
Tunisia beats Japan 3-0
Covers 9 related markets
Iraq upsets toothless France
Covers 15 related markets
France wins exactly 2-0
Covers 10 related markets
Norway and Senegal draw
Covers 3 related markets
