Part of: CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia

Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-03?

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $62,725.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Argentina Primera División

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor scales into No

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 78% win rate added substantially to an existing No position amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 78% of 1,295 resolved trades and is up $1.6 million.
  • They added to a $34,570 No position, buying another $1,390 at 48¢ as No later reached 72¢.
  • The market saw a 5,043× surge versus its typical 24-hour volume, reinforcing the directional signal.

$1,105 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

Sharp bettor leads No cluster

A highly profitable 78% win-rate wallet bought No at 48¢ and the outcome has since risen to 70¢, alongside $9,112 of one-sided No buying.

  • This bettor wins 78% of trades and is up $1.6M lifetime, with a meaningful edge over average entry prices.
  • The wallet bought No at 48¢; No is now priced around 70¢, indicating the position moved strongly in its favor.
  • Three wallets committed $9,112 to No, creating concentrated one-sided sports-market flow.

$9,112 on No

Linked cluster backs Yes

A linked 10-wallet cluster deployed $40.7K on Yes, including a highly profitable 91% winner buying at 30–32¢, while the market surged to certainty.

  • Ten linked wallets concentrated $40,677 on Yes, a strong coordinated directional signal.
  • One participant wins 91% of 173 bets and bought Yes at 30–32¢ before the market reached 100%.
  • The market jumped sharply from low prices to certainty, though the opportunity is no longer available at the original entry.

$40,677 on Yes

Sharp bettor scales into No

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 78% win rate added substantially to an existing No position amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 78% of 1,295 resolved trades and is up $1.6 million.
  • They added to a $34,570 No position, buying another $1,390 at 48¢ as No later reached 72¢.
  • The market saw a 5,043× surge versus its typical 24-hour volume, reinforcing the directional signal.

$1,390 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

90% win-rate bettor buys Sarmiento

A highly profitable serial trader with a 90% win rate made a concentrated $6.7K purchase at 32% amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades—151 of 167—and is up $2.0M lifetime.
  • The $6,699 position is more than 150% of the market’s recent 24-hour volume.
  • Bought Yes at 32% during an 876x volume spike, signaling strong conviction in Sarmiento’s chances.

$6,699 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

Serial trader buys No amid volume surge

A highly experienced, profitable serial cross-market trader made a concentrated No bet amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 72% of 10,951 resolved trades and is up $4.6 million lifetime.
  • The $3,743 No bet accounts for nearly all recent market volume, signaling strong conviction despite the market’s 68% No price.
  • The wallet has traded across 537 events and 1,173 markets, providing substantial evidence beyond a one-off wager.

$3,743 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7236...ea53 Outcome 32481010, $4,000 (88% win rate)
  2. 0x7ea5...de7b Outcome 32481010, $2,186 (62% win rate)
  3. 0xfb13...5946 Outcome 32481010, $1,200 (94% win rate)
  4. 0xe1e3...f1bd Outcome 32481010, $900 (70% win rate)
  5. 0x179b...2b82 Outcome 32481010, $732 (81% win rate)
  6. 0x03c6...3dd2 Outcome 32481010, $676
  7. 0x4bc5...e563 Outcome 32481010, $607 (54% win rate)
  8. 0x7a64...683e Outcome 32481010, $500
  9. 0x8e8d...acc4 Outcome 32481010, $475
  10. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 32481010, $414

Related Theses

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout

Covers 14 related markets

Paraguay fails to win

Covers 3 related markets

Austria routs Argentina after halftime

Covers 9 related markets

Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless

Covers 10 related markets

Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet

Covers 8 related markets

Ecuador wins big to nil

Covers 7 related markets

Tunisia beats Japan 3-0

Covers 9 related markets

Iraq upsets toothless France

Covers 15 related markets

France wins exactly 2-0

Covers 10 related markets

Norway and Senegal draw

Covers 3 related markets

Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-03?

ResolvedCA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia$62,725 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesSoccerArgentina Primera División

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 3, 2026 If CA Sarmiento wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes
89¢
57¢
26¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-03?

20d ago

$1,105 on No at 48¢

Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-03?

20d ago

$9,112 on No at 48¢

Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-03?

19d ago

$40,677 on Yes at 32¢

Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-03?

20d ago

$1,390 on No at 48¢

Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-03?

20d ago

$6,699 on Yes at 32¢

Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-03?

20d ago

$3,743 on No at 68¢

Related Theses

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 14 related markets
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
Paraguay fails to win
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 3 related markets
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-1…Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19…Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end …
Austria routs Argentina after halftime
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 9 related markets
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina vs. Austria: Both Te…Argentina vs. Austria: Austria…
Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 10 related markets
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.…Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both T…Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden…
Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 8 related markets
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Bot…Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U…
Ecuador wins big to nil
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 7 related markets
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O…Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half …
Tunisia beats Japan 3-0
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 9 related markets
Spread: Japan (-2.5)Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Spread: Japan (-1.5)
Iraq upsets toothless France
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 15 related markets
Spread: France (-4.5)France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.…Spread: France (-1.5)
France wins exactly 2-0
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 10 related markets
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Spread: France (-2.5)
Norway and Senegal draw
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 3 related markets
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in…Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22…Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?