Part of: CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-03?
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $62,725.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Argentina Primera División
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor scales into No
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 78% win rate added substantially to an existing No position amid an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor wins 78% of 1,295 resolved trades and is up $1.6 million.
- They added to a $34,570 No position, buying another $1,390 at 48¢ as No later reached 72¢.
- The market saw a 5,043× surge versus its typical 24-hour volume, reinforcing the directional signal.
$1,105 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp bettor leads No cluster
A highly profitable 78% win-rate wallet bought No at 48¢ and the outcome has since risen to 70¢, alongside $9,112 of one-sided No buying.
- This bettor wins 78% of trades and is up $1.6M lifetime, with a meaningful edge over average entry prices.
- The wallet bought No at 48¢; No is now priced around 70¢, indicating the position moved strongly in its favor.
- Three wallets committed $9,112 to No, creating concentrated one-sided sports-market flow.
$9,112 on No
Linked cluster backs Yes
A linked 10-wallet cluster deployed $40.7K on Yes, including a highly profitable 91% winner buying at 30–32¢, while the market surged to certainty.
- Ten linked wallets concentrated $40,677 on Yes, a strong coordinated directional signal.
- One participant wins 91% of 173 bets and bought Yes at 30–32¢ before the market reached 100%.
- The market jumped sharply from low prices to certainty, though the opportunity is no longer available at the original entry.
$40,677 on Yes
Sharp bettor scales into No
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 78% win rate added substantially to an existing No position amid an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor wins 78% of 1,295 resolved trades and is up $1.6 million.
- They added to a $34,570 No position, buying another $1,390 at 48¢ as No later reached 72¢.
- The market saw a 5,043× surge versus its typical 24-hour volume, reinforcing the directional signal.
$1,390 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
90% win-rate bettor buys Sarmiento
A highly profitable serial trader with a 90% win rate made a concentrated $6.7K purchase at 32% amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades—151 of 167—and is up $2.0M lifetime.
- The $6,699 position is more than 150% of the market’s recent 24-hour volume.
- Bought Yes at 32% during an 876x volume spike, signaling strong conviction in Sarmiento’s chances.
$6,699 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Serial trader buys No amid volume surge
A highly experienced, profitable serial cross-market trader made a concentrated No bet amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 72% of 10,951 resolved trades and is up $4.6 million lifetime.
- The $3,743 No bet accounts for nearly all recent market volume, signaling strong conviction despite the market’s 68% No price.
- The wallet has traded across 537 events and 1,173 markets, providing substantial evidence beyond a one-off wager.
$3,743 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
Top Holders
- 0x7236...ea53 — Outcome 32481010, $4,000 (88% win rate)
- 0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 32481010, $2,186 (62% win rate)
- 0xfb13...5946 — Outcome 32481010, $1,200 (94% win rate)
- 0xe1e3...f1bd — Outcome 32481010, $900 (70% win rate)
- 0x179b...2b82 — Outcome 32481010, $732 (81% win rate)
- 0x03c6...3dd2 — Outcome 32481010, $676
- 0x4bc5...e563 — Outcome 32481010, $607 (54% win rate)
- 0x7a64...683e — Outcome 32481010, $500
- 0x8e8d...acc4 — Outcome 32481010, $475
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 32481010, $414
Related Theses
Brazil wins low-scoring shutout
Covers 14 related markets
Paraguay fails to win
Covers 3 related markets
Austria routs Argentina after halftime
Covers 9 related markets
Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless
Covers 10 related markets
Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet
Covers 8 related markets
Ecuador wins big to nil
Covers 7 related markets
Tunisia beats Japan 3-0
Covers 9 related markets
Iraq upsets toothless France
Covers 15 related markets
France wins exactly 2-0
Covers 10 related markets
Norway and Senegal draw
Covers 3 related markets
