Part of: South Africa vs. Canada
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,764,964.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
89% winner with 18-wallet flow
Sharp 89% win-rate wallet with $1.5M profit bought Canada Yes, backed by 18-wallet same-side flow despite the market moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $1.5M lifetime.
- 18 wallets are buying the same side, totaling $67K on Canada Yes.
- The market is now 32¢ versus this wallet’s 43¢ entry, offering a cheaper copy price but with negative recent momentum.
$4,474 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
19-wallet No cluster
High-conviction No flow: a 19-wallet one-sided cluster with linked funding is joined by a serial cross-market bettor with a 94% resolved-bet hit rate.
- 19 wallets are all buying No, totaling $360,765 in same-direction flow.
- This bettor has won 29 of 31 resolved markets and trades across many related events.
- The wallet flipped from a prior Yes position into No at 54¢ as the market saw a 33x volume spike.
$1,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
Sharp cluster caught 25¢ Yes
Nine wallets, including multiple profitable sharp bettors, piled into Canada Yes around 25¢ before the market surged to 94¢.
- Nine wallets all bet Canada Yes, totaling $20.4K in the same direction.
- One bettor wins 93% of their resolved bets and is up $819K lifetime.
- Their average entry was about 25¢ before Yes jumped to 94¢.
$20,357 on Yes
89% winner with 18-wallet flow
Sharp 89% win-rate wallet with $1.5M profit bought Canada Yes, backed by 18-wallet same-side flow despite the market moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $1.5M lifetime.
- 18 wallets are buying the same side, totaling $67K on Canada Yes.
- The market is now 32¢ versus this wallet’s 43¢ entry, offering a cheaper copy price but with negative recent momentum.
$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Repeat new whale with crowd
A repeat new whale put $245K on Canada Yes alongside 13-wallet one-sided flow, making this a strong coordinated-conviction signal despite the price moving against entry.
- A new 18-day-old wallet bought $245K of Yes and has now triggered 44 large-bet alerts totaling $4.17M.
- 13 wallets are all betting the same way, with $315K total flowing into Yes.
- This wallet is 8-for-8 on resolved bets, though its public profit record is still limited.
$245,168 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
16-wallet No flow
Strong one-sided No flow from 16 wallets is reinforced by a profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 66% record across 326 resolved trades.
- 16 wallets are all buying No, totaling about $68.8K on the same side.
- This bettor has won 66% of 326 resolved trades and is up $37.7K lifetime.
- They bought No at 67¢ and the market has already moved to 70¢.
$1,015 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
16-wallet No wave
Strong one-sided flow from 16 wallets buying No, supported by a profitable serial cross-market bettor and a sharp move toward No.
- 16 wallets bought the same side, putting $68,828 behind No in this market.
- This bettor has won 63% of 229 resolved trades and is up $14,829 lifetime.
- No has already moved from their 63¢ entry to about 70¢, matching the cluster’s direction.
$1,069 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
16-wallet anti-Canada flow
Strong 16-wallet one-sided flow is betting against Canada, corroborated by a sharp 24h move from Yes toward No despite this specific wallet lacking positive lifetime P&L.
- 16 wallets have bought No on this market, totaling about $68.8k in the same direction.
- Canada’s Yes price is down 26 points in 24 hours, matching the one-sided flow toward No.
- This trade is effectively buying No at 67¢, while the market now prices No around 70¢.
$1,131 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%
89% winner with 18-wallet flow
Sharp 89% win-rate wallet with $1.5M profit bought Canada Yes, backed by 18-wallet same-side flow despite the market moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $1.5M lifetime.
- 18 wallets are buying the same side, totaling $67K on Canada Yes.
- The market is now 32¢ versus this wallet’s 43¢ entry, offering a cheaper copy price but with negative recent momentum.
$6,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Sharp bettor joins 24-wallet Yes cluster
Sharp 80% lifetime bettor is buying Yes alongside a 24-wallet one-sided cluster despite a sharp price drop.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $205,653 lifetime.
- 24 wallets are all buying Yes, totaling $81,299, with some linked by shared funding.
- Entry at 43¢ follows a 13-point daily drop, suggesting this group is buying the dip.
$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0x640d...9a4c — Outcome 90199087, $7,020,377 (100% win rate)
- 0xc67a...f0b6 — Outcome 90199087, $2,105,492 (64% win rate)
- 0xa4b1...5143 — Outcome 90199087, $2,105,485 (100% win rate)
- 0xe22a...2703 — Outcome 90199087, $1,574,467 (71% win rate)
- 0x3496...8fc4 — Outcome 90199087, $1,364,969 (68% win rate)
- 0xc6a6...9458 — Outcome 90199087, $1,049,999 (100% win rate)
- 0xe2dd...4a23 — Outcome 90199087, $1,042,553 (86% win rate)
- 0x88b9...36ae — Outcome 90199087, $697,674 (33% win rate)
- 0xb4ba...daba — Outcome 90199087, $697,674 (86% win rate)
- 0x7c1e...bab3 — Outcome 90199087, $530,000 (97% win rate)
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