Part of: CF Pachuca vs. CD Guadalajara
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-29?
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $81,791.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Liga MX
Notable Trades
Perfect-record trader backs No
A perfect-record serial trader and a five-wallet cluster took strong No exposure, with $31.6k of positioning and a major price move supporting the thesis.
- One bettor has won 321 of 321 resolved bets, earned $688,002, and traded across 352 events.
- Five wallets concentrated $31,598 on No, while large Yes exits were equivalent to buying No around 31¢.
- No rose sharply as this positioning arrived, indicating substantial conviction in Guadalajara not winning.
$31,598 on No
Sharp bettor fades Guadalajara surge
A highly experienced bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial lifetime profits is selling Guadalajara Yes after a sharp price surge, signaling potential value on No.
- This bettor wins 78% of 1,510 resolved trades and is up $1.74 million lifetime.
- Selling Yes at 71¢ after the market rose 25 percentage points in one day signals a possible contrarian view on No.
- The equivalent No entry is 29¢, implying roughly a 3.4x payout if Guadalajara fails to win.
$2,129 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%
Sharp wallets selling into Yes surge
A proven high-volume bettor and two other experienced wallets sold $28.4K of Yes after a sharp price surge, creating a notable but partly profit-taking-driven No signal.
- The lead bettor wins 78% of 1,510 resolved trades and is up $1.74M lifetime.
- Three experienced wallets sold $28,406 of Yes after the price rose 25% in one day.
- Two wallets had previously held Yes, so part of the flow may be profit-taking rather than a fresh No position.
$28,406 on No
Sharp bettor leads coordinated Yes buying
Four wallets bought $17.7K of Yes amid a 324x volume spike, led by a highly profitable bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial historical edge.
- A bettor with a 78% win rate is up $1.7M across 1,510 resolved trades, with average winning odds of 59%.
- Four wallets committed $17,691 to Yes, while market volume surged to 324 times its normal level.
- Yes has risen 24% in one day and 31% in one week, confirming strong buying momentum.
$17,691 on Yes
351-event perfect-record bettor
A serial trader with an extraordinary 318-0 record and $675,000 profit added to a substantial No position, despite the market moving sharply toward Yes.
- This bettor has won 100% of 318 resolved trades and is up $675,000, with an average entry of 72%.
- The wallet has committed about $12,000 to No and added another $1,966 while holding the same position.
- No has fallen from the 58¢ entry to roughly 32¢ as Yes surged 22% in one day, making this a high-conviction but currently losing thesis.
$1,966 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xbc5b...3ddc — Outcome 46625767, $10,185 (66% win rate)
- 0x1d60...453d — Outcome 46625767, $3,089 (76% win rate)
- 0xbe77...ef6c — Outcome 46625767, $2,153 (94% win rate)
- 0xa24e...1be8 — Outcome 46625767, $1,440 (71% win rate)
- 0x6d6e...964b — Outcome 46625767, $739
- 0x5c18...2f76 — Outcome 46625767, $687
- 0x629d...756c — Outcome 46625767, $656
- 0xa38a...821d — Outcome 46625767, $629 (57% win rate)
- 0xec57...0fa7 — Outcome 46625767, $500 (53% win rate)
- 0x191f...4a8d — Outcome 46625767, $500 (75% win rate)
