Part of: CD Nacional vs. Vitória SC

Will CD Nacional win on 2026-05-16?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 16, 2026 If CD Nacional wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,233.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Primeira Liga

Notable Trades

Sharp serial sports bettor

Surfaced because a proven profitable sports bettor with a 79% win rate and strong cross-market history bought Yes at 46¢.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $148,563 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 90 events with the same 79% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 46¢ implies they see CD Nacional as meaningfully underpriced.

$1,902 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

19-0 sharp sports bettor

Surface despite the weak alert score because this wallet has a perfect 19-0 resolved record and +$30k P&L, making the CD Nacional Yes buy a sharp-wallet copy candidate.

  • This bettor is 19-for-19 on resolved markets and is up $30,182 lifetime.
  • They bought Yes at 46¢, implying a roughly 2.2x payout if CD Nacional wins.
  • The wallet has been flagged 16 times before, suggesting repeated large-bet conviction rather than a one-off trade.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable soccer cluster

Three wallets bought CD Nacional Yes together, led by a profitable 79% winner and another 10-for-10 wallet, making this a copy-worthy clustered sports position.

  • A bettor who wins 79% of resolved trades is buying Yes and is up $148,563 lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought the same side within seconds, putting $6,477 on CD Nacional at 46¢.
  • One wallet is 10-for-10 on resolved bets, adding another profitable signal to the cluster.

$6,477 on Yes

Sharp serial sports bettor

Sharp sports bettor with a 79% win rate and $148k lifetime profit is buying CD Nacional Yes at 46¢, backed by a long serial cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $148k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 89 events with the same 79% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 46¢ implies they see CD Nacional as meaningfully undervalued versus the market.

$2,854 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4408...1b6a No, $25,743 (49% win rate)
  2. 0x9a54...7191 Yes, $15,299 (79% win rate)
  3. 0x6d11...c449 No, $10,548 (57% win rate)
  4. 0xf421...cff4 Yes, $7,609 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x379a...5122 Yes, $6,039 (100% win rate)
  6. 0xb177...1914 Yes, $5,859 (45% win rate)
  7. 0x8228...b2fb Yes, $4,150 (92% win rate)
  8. 0x204f...5e14 No, $2,907 (55% win rate)
  9. 0x6d3c...d294 No, $2,745 (50% win rate)
  10. 0x0346...52a5 No, $2,354 (52% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Vélez Sarsfield will not win

Covers 1 related market

CD Nacional will win

Covers 1 related market

CD Nacional will win

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Rayo Vallecano will not win

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will CD Nacional win on 2026-05-16?

ResolvedCD Nacional vs. Vitória SC$13,233 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerPrimeira Liga
Yes
34¢
No
67¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 16, 2026 If CD Nacional wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No
71¢
60¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will CD Nacional win on 2026-05-16?

55m ago

$1,902 on Yes at 46¢

46¢34¢12¢

Will CD Nacional win on 2026-05-16?

55m ago

$2,000 on Yes at 46¢

46¢34¢12¢

Will CD Nacional win on 2026-05-16?

1h ago

$6,477 on Yes at 46¢

46¢34¢12¢

Will CD Nacional win on 2026-05-16?

1h ago

$2,854 on Yes at 46¢

46¢34¢12¢

Related Theses