Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-04-15?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,261.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Copa Libertadores

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor buying panic dip

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a solid 70% win rate bought the opposite side immediately after a sharp late price crash, suggesting opportunistic value-taking rather than routine flow.

This bettor has traded 263 markets across 209 events and wins 70% of resolved bets
The trade came right after a 43-point price swing in about 3 minutes, likely catching a panic-driven mispricing
Selling No at 53¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 47¢, close to the current 45-46¢ market

$2,305 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable serial timer

Serial near-resolution bettor with a large realized profit history bought Yes at 12¢ just 3.5 minutes before this live sports market resolved.

This wallet has made 18 last-minute bets across 16 markets and is up $321k overall.
The bet came just 3.5 minutes before resolution, a pattern that can matter in live sports markets.
They bought Yes at 12¢, suggesting they saw the true win chance as meaningfully higher right before the finish.

$1,956 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%

Top Holders

0x374a...03ed — Outcome 35146776, $2,781 (96% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 35146776, $1,900 (54% win rate)
0xe1a6...d584 — Outcome 35146776, $1,750 (93% win rate)
0xfb13...5946 — Outcome 35146776, $1,500 (94% win rate)
0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 35146776, $1,225 (68% win rate)
0x4b8a...f4a4 — Outcome 35146776, $1,000
0xb611...188f — Outcome 35146776, $490
0xf02f...1ed8 — Outcome 35146776, $460 (74% win rate)
0x60ab...e297 — Outcome 35146776, $400
0x57c8...3d9b — Outcome 35146776, $334

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-04-15?

Resolved$4,261 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerCopa Libertadores

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 15, 2026 If CD Universidad Católica wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.