Part of: Fagiano Okayama vs. Cerezo Ōsaka

Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-23?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,310.

Categories: Sports, Japan J League, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

80% serial sports sharp

Proven 80% winner bought Cerezo Ōsaka Yes before a sharp move from 80% to 94%, with strong cross-market history and price impact.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $17.7K lifetime.
They have bet across 27 related sports events with the same 80% hit rate.
Their $4K buy at 80¢ was followed by a fast move to 94¢, suggesting the market agreed quickly.

$4,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

Profitable serial trader

A highly active, profitable cross-market trader bought Yes before a fast 24.5-point move, suggesting momentum-backed conviction despite the modest trade size.

This bettor is up about $3.0M lifetime across more than 35,000 resolved trades.
They bought Yes at 87¢ before the market jumped to 94¢ within minutes.
The market has strong momentum, with Yes up 57 points over the past day.

$1,179 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 55%

Repeat bettor on sharp move

Rapid price move and repeated large-bet wallet activity make this a notable momentum trade, though the wallet’s long-term edge is not especially strong.

Cerezo Ōsaka Yes jumped about 25¢ in under 4 minutes, suggesting fast one-way momentum.
This repeat large bettor entered at 62¢, with the market now around 64¢.
The bet was sizable for this quiet market, equal to about a quarter of the last 24h volume.

$2,131 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 53%

Top Holders

0x7d7f...86d2 — Outcome 26405008, $239
0x089c...4dc4 — Outcome 26405008, $136
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 26405008, $128
0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 26405008, $109 (71% win rate)
0xb53f...f9f0 — Outcome 26405008, $81 (78% win rate)
0x9079...b19b — Outcome 26405008, $60 (75% win rate)
0x6775...fc91 — Outcome 26405008, $53
0xeab7...b389 — Outcome 26405008, $50
0x9a94...d5f9 — Outcome 26405008, $50
0x8935...7daa — Outcome 26405008, $40

Related Theses

Panama Croatia tied at halftime

Covers 3 related markets

Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-23?

ResolvedFagiano Okayama vs. Cerezo Ōsaka$7,310 tracked3 signalsSportsJapan J LeagueGamesSoccer

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 23, 2026 If Cerezo Ōsaka wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.