Five wallets all leaned No for $9.2k as the market swung about 19 points in 2 minutes. One bettor in the cluster wins 69% of resolved bets and is up $97k, while two others are active across dozens of related markets. Most of the flow hit between 33¢ and 50¢, suggesting they saw No as mispriced before the market snapped to even odds.

Will CF América win on 2026-04-25?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,743.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Liga MX

Notable Trades

Profitable serial event trader

A profitable, highly active cross-market trader with 1,197 resolved bets sold Yes into a fast 19-point drop, which translates to a buy-No signal at 50¢.

This bettor has 1,197 resolved trades, wins 61% of them, and is up $167k overall
They sold Yes at 50¢ after a rapid 19-point drop in about 2 minutes, which maps to buying No at 50¢
The market is liquid and active, so this looks more like a deliberate directional call than a random thin-market punt

$2,086 on No | Wallet win rate: 61%

5-wallet No push

Five wallets piled into No as this soccer market repriced sharply, including at least one strong profitable bettor and two high-volume cross-market traders, making the coordinated move worth watching despite mixed wallet quality.

Five wallets all leaned No for $9.2k as the market swung about 19 points in 2 minutes.
One bettor in the cluster wins 69% of resolved bets and is up $97k, while two others are active across dozens of related markets.
Most of the flow hit between 33¢ and 50¢, suggesting they saw No as mispriced before the market snapped to even odds.

$9,188 on No

3-wallet sharp No push

Three wallets piled into No in under 2 minutes and moved the price sharply, led by one bettor with a solid 69% win rate across 68 resolved markets.

Three wallets bought No within about 1 minute for $3.6k total and pushed No from 33¢ to 46¢
One of the wallets wins 69% of resolved bets and is up $97k lifetime, giving the cluster some credibility
The lead entry at 33¢ is already marked up to 46¢, showing fast agreement from the market

$3,557 on No

Profitable serial sports bettor

A profitable serial cross-market trader with a solid 69% win rate bought No into a massive pre-match volume spike, making this a credible directional signal despite the modest trade size.

This bettor wins 69% of resolved markets and is up about $97k overall.
They trade heavily across related markets — 173 markets over 147 events with more than $1.09M deployed.
The bet came during a 1,679x volume surge, suggesting sharper money was moving into this match market.

$1,911 on No | Wallet win rate: 69%

Top Holders

0xf5f9...87b0 — Outcome 51009761, $65,573 (84% win rate)
0x8688...9d8c — Outcome 87017734, $5,052 (52% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 87017734, $4,889 (54% win rate)
0xdf07...e601 — Outcome 51009761, $3,000
0x19d0...e11c — Outcome 51009761, $2,999 (2% win rate)
0xb3ac...5018 — Outcome 51009761, $1,137 (36% win rate)
0x32df...cce8 — Outcome 51009761, $1,000
0x1250...8f99 — Outcome 51009761, $999
0x300c...d650 — Outcome 51009761, $988
0x8e8d...acc4 — Outcome 87017734, $902

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will CF América win on 2026-04-25?

Resolved$16,743 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLiga MX

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If CF América wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.