This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up about $117k across 39 bets. They bought the draw at 26¢, a price that implies roughly a 3.8x payout if right. This wallet has traded 44 related event markets, suggesting a repeatable sports betting edge rather than a one-off punt.

Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,411.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL

Notable Trades

97% win-rate bettor

A proven sharp bettor with a 97% win rate bought the draw at 26¢, making this a strong copy-trade despite the modest size in a liquid market.

This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up about $117k across 39 bets.
They bought the draw at 26¢, a price that implies roughly a 3.8x payout if right.
This wallet has traded 44 related event markets, suggesting a repeatable sports betting edge rather than a one-off punt.

$1,984 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%

Sharp cluster buying Draw

Three wallets piled into Draw around 24-25¢, led by a bettor with a large long-term edge, creating coordinated one-sided flow on a meaningful sports market.

A bettor who wins 79% of 1,057 resolved trades and is up $191k led this move.
Three wallets all bought the draw side around 24-25¢ for a combined $8.1k.
One trade closed a No position at 76¢, which is the same as buying Yes at 24¢.

$8,060 on Yes

79% win-rate sports bettor

A proven sharp bettor with a 79% win rate and +$191k P&L opened a fresh $5.4k position on Draw at 24¢, making this a credible copy-trade despite the otherwise routine market conditions.

This bettor wins 79% of 1,057 resolved trades and is up $191k lifetime
They just opened a fresh $5.4k position on Draw at 24¢, implying meaningful upside if their read is right
The market is liquid and stable, so this looks like a deliberate value bet rather than noise from a thin orderbook

$5,368 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

0x5124...91bb — Outcome 10899329, $35,254 (79% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 10899329, $15,625 (73% win rate)
0xf402...df7c — Outcome 10899329, $8,303 (97% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 40521746, $5,382
0xa8ca...d535 — Outcome 10899329, $5,083 (93% win rate)
0x4337...8882 — Outcome 10899329, $4,328 (77% win rate)
0x84ad...bfb7 — Outcome 10899329, $3,945
0x9cfe...294c — Outcome 10899329, $3,691
0xa0a3...e4b7 — Outcome 10899329, $2,165
0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 10899329, $1,611 (67% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Resolved$15,411 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerPremier LeagueEPL

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 12, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.