Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,987,103.

Categories: Sports, Premier League, EPL, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

Serial trader amid 176x volume spike

A highly experienced, profitable serial trader bought No during a market-wide 176x volume spike, though their historical win rate does not clearly exceed the average odds paid.

A bettor with 85,342 resolved trades and $7.1M in lifetime profit bought No at 62¢.
The trade arrived during a 176x spike versus the market’s historical volume, suggesting notable event positioning.
The trader’s 70% win rate is solid but below their 76¢ average winning entry price, so the edge is not definitive.

$1,342 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

Whales and sharp bettors buy Chelsea Yes

A massive Yes position entered during an extreme volume spike, with participation from highly profitable bettors and a repeat new-wallet whale, although opposing No flow makes the thesis contested.

Six wallets bought $888,616 of Yes, including bettors with 89% and 81% win rates.
The market saw a 1,010x historical volume spike, while one repeat two-day-old wallet has deployed $3.6M and is up $512,851.
Yes was bought around 36–38¢, implying substantial upside from the current 40¢ price, though a larger $1.17M No cluster signals strong disagreement.

$888,616 on Yes

14-wallet No conviction cluster

A massive 14-wallet No cluster and 1,735x volume spike indicate unusually strong coordinated downside conviction despite competing Yes flow.

Fourteen wallets bought No for $1.16 million, including a bettor with a 100% record across 11 resolved positions.
Trading activity was 1,735x the historical average, with the market moving 5 percentage points toward No.
Five wallets also bought Yes for $833,000, making the opposing flow an important risk to the thesis.

$1,161,078 on No

New whale scaling into coordinated Yes

A highly profitable new wallet is scaling into a large Yes position alongside four other buyers amid an extreme volume spike.

This two-day-old wallet has already flagged $3.38M in trades and is up $512,851 overall.
The wallet added roughly $826,000 to Yes while five wallets collectively bought about $833,000.
The market saw a 1,735x historical volume spike, with Yes available around 36–38¢.

$826,410 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%

Serial trader amid 176x volume spike

A highly experienced, profitable serial trader bought No during a market-wide 176x volume spike, though their historical win rate does not clearly exceed the average odds paid.

A bettor with 85,342 resolved trades and $7.1M in lifetime profit bought No at 62¢.
The trade arrived during a 176x spike versus the market’s historical volume, suggesting notable event positioning.
The trader’s 70% win rate is solid but below their 76¢ average winning entry price, so the edge is not definitive.

$2,849 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

New wallet scaling into Chelsea Yes

A brand-new wallet is repeatedly scaling into Chelsea Yes with over $30,000 committed during an extreme volume spike, though it lacks a proven track record.

A wallet less than an hour old has committed over $30,000 to Chelsea Yes across repeated trades.
The position was increased during a 176.7x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually strong near-term conviction.
Chelsea Yes is priced at 39¢, implying the bettor sees meaningful upside despite recent price weakness.

$8,510 on Yes

Sharp bettor buys Chelsea Yes

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 87% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $15,000 purchase of Chelsea Yes at 38%.

This bettor has won 87% of 190 resolved trades and earned nearly $3.9M in profit.
The $15,000 purchase is a fresh, concentrated position at 38¢, despite the market pricing Chelsea at only 38%.
The wallet has traded across 229 events and 279 markets, indicating a substantial track record rather than a one-off bet.

$15,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%

Profitable serial trader buys No

A highly profitable serial trader placed nearly $40,000 on No amid an extreme 1,140x volume spike, making this a meaningful directional signal despite the liquid market.

This bettor has won 66% of 8,931 resolved trades and is up $9.6 million lifetime.
The wallet placed 17 No trades totaling nearly $39,800 at 61¢.
Trading volume was 1,140 times the historical average, suggesting unusually strong interest in this position.

$39,768 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

Serial trader scales into No

A highly experienced and profitable serial trader made a concentrated $21.5K purchase of No amid an extreme volume spike, indicating meaningful conviction against Chelsea winning.

This bettor has won 66% of 8,931 resolved trades and is up $9.6M lifetime.
They concentrated $21,529 into No at 60¢ across 10 near-simultaneous trades.
The market saw a 1,353x spike versus its historical volume, reinforcing the unusual positioning.

$21,529 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

92% win-rate serial bettor

A highly profitable serial trader with a 92% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $10,000 purchase of Chelsea Yes at 41%.

This bettor has won 92% of 396 resolved positions and earned $1.72 million in profit.
The fresh $10,000 Yes position is bought at 41¢, implying substantially more confidence than the market's current 40% odds.
The wallet has traded across 629 markets and 509 events, providing a large track record behind this position.

$10,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

0x63cf...e4d0 — Outcome 16072961, $2,845,563 (60% win rate)
0xf031...c80c — Outcome 16072961, $1,009,741 (86% win rate)
0x77fe...a351 — Outcome 16072961, $26,623 (51% win rate)
0x9c68...247a — Outcome 16072961, $26,316 (52% win rate)
0xf363...c197 — Outcome 16072961, $21,821
0x2117...5c26 — Outcome 16072961, $16,595 (45% win rate)
0x3f98...0aa1 — Outcome 16072961, $13,013 (81% win rate)
0x7e52...00f5 — Outcome 16072961, $12,185 (79% win rate)
0x25f6...cc27 — Outcome 16072961, $10,406
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 78286428, $8,617

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Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?

ResolvedBrentford FC vs. Chelsea FC$2,987,103 tracked11 signalsSportsPremier LeagueEPLGamesSoccer

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 18, 2026 If Chelsea FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Price History — “No”

96¢

76¢

55¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction