Part of: 2025-2026 FA Cup Winner

Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,634.

Categories: Soccer, Sports, FA Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume serial trader bought $11.3k of Chelsea No in a thin FA Cup market, adding a directional sports thesis with a strong long-run P&L record.

  • This bettor is up $1.1M across 996 resolved trades, despite betting at very large size.
  • They have traded 101 markets across 74 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports strategy.
  • The $11.3k buy landed in a thin book, showing clear conviction that Chelsea will not win the FA Cup.

$11,281 on No | Wallet win rate: 57%

91% winner backs Yes

Sharp sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Chelsea FA Cup Yes at 30¢.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $296K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 34 events with $657K total volume.
  • Entry at 30¢ implies they see Chelsea as underpriced despite a long runway to resolution.

$1,890 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

89% winner buys No

A high-win-rate bettor with 128 wins in 144 resolved markets just made a fresh $1.5k buy on No in a relatively quiet FA Cup market, accounting for two-thirds of the day's volume.

  • This bettor wins 89% of their trades and is up about $123k lifetime
  • Their $1.5k buy made up 66% of this market's 24-hour volume, showing real conviction
  • This is a fresh No position, not routine profit-taking, at 69¢ in a sports market with decent liquidity

$1,463 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7c58...a5a1 Outcome 81291800, $58,308 (94% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 32688773, $40,307
  3. 0xb291...cdca Outcome 81291800, $3,765
  4. 0x2699...1cbd Outcome 81291800, $2,337
  5. 0xa1b3...0329 Outcome 81291800, $2,212 (43% win rate)
  6. 0x1420...9daa Outcome 81291800, $1,736 (71% win rate)
  7. 0x6ca3...590f Outcome 81291800, $1,034 (71% win rate)
  8. 0xd604...cb5f Outcome 81291800, $904 (65% win rate)
  9. 0x6e7d...3c7f Outcome 81291800, $835 (50% win rate)
  10. 0x0fe1...befb Outcome 81291800, $530 (100% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Tottenham win by two

Covers 1 related market

Covers 4 related markets

Barcelona wins May 10

Covers 1 related market

Covers 5 related markets

Real Madrid win comfortably

Covers 1 related market

Barcelona win by two-plus

Covers 1 related market

Covers 3 related markets

Arsenal wins on May 10

Covers 1 related market

Arsenal win the Premier League

Covers 1 related market

Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?

Resolved2025-2026 FA Cup Winner$14,634 tracked3 signalsSoccerSportsFA Cup

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 FA Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-2026 FA Cup per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2025-2026 FA Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Football Association (https://www.thefa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?

27d ago

$11,281 on No at 68¢

Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?

27d ago

$1,890 on Yes at 30¢

Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?

45d ago

$1,463 on No at 69¢

Related Theses