Part of: CF Cruz Azul vs. Chicago Fire FC
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-13?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,613.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Leagues Cup
Notable Trades
Serial trader fades sharp volume spike
A serial cross-market trader with a profitable 430-bet history sold Chicago Fire Yes at 65¢ amid an extreme pre-event volume surge, creating a noteworthy contrarian No signal despite limited evidence of superior win-rate edge.
- This trader is up $58,277 across 430 resolved bets and has traded 25 events, providing meaningful historical activity.
- Market volume spiked 1,094× above its historical average while Yes rose 30.5% in a day, making the 65¢ Yes sale a notable contrarian position.
- The trade converts to buying No around 35¢, but the trader’s 62% win rate is not clearly exceptional against a 72¢ average winning entry price.
$1,368 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
Serial trader drives sharp Yes breakout
A highly experienced serial trader made a concentrated $4,245 Yes bet that coincided with a 34-point breakout, though the position has since fallen modestly below entry.
- This bettor has resolved 25,284 trades, a 71% win rate, and more than $5.2 million in lifetime profit.
- They concentrated $4,245 on Yes at 68¢, representing most of the detected 24-hour activity.
- The trade coincided with a 34-point move beyond the market's historical price range, although Yes has since eased to 64¢.
$4,245 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 42291635, $3,599 (65% win rate)
- 0xbc5b...3ddc — Outcome 42291635, $3,217 (70% win rate)
- 0xb207...839b — Outcome 42291635, $2,340
- 0x4bc5...e563 — Outcome 42291635, $2,000 (56% win rate)
- 0x9f15...bdb3 — Outcome 42291635, $1,983 (75% win rate)
- 0x67bf...f983 — Outcome 42291635, $1,967 (63% win rate)
- 0x4348...f08a — Outcome 42291635, $1,174
- 0x2d6a...8add — Outcome 42291635, $1,063 (59% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 42291635, $938
- 0xdbdd...a5de — Outcome 42291635, $587 (60% win rate)
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