Part of: Colombia vs. DR Congo
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $52,839.
Categories: Sports, Games, FIFA World Cup, Soccer
Notable Trades
Profitable trader with Yes cluster
High composite alert driven by a profitable high-volume serial trader buying Yes alongside $71k of same-direction clustered flow and a major pre-event price move.
- This bettor has a long track record: 61% wins across 2,795 resolved bets and about $295k in lifetime profit.
- Five wallets have all bought the draw, totaling $71k on the same side.
- The draw price is already up 15 points in 24h, and this trader entered at 34¢ before the move to 38¢.
$1,395 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
95% winner backing Yes
High-score cluster led by a 95% winning, profitable serial cross-market bettor buying Yes on the draw alongside $31K of same-direction flow.
- A bettor who wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $96K bought Yes at 24¢.
- Four wallets put $31K on the same side, including one $24K buy.
- Volume is 64x above normal before the match, with coordinated Yes buying across related markets.
$31,438 on Yes
Sharp wallets chase draw longshot
Four wallets, including multiple profitable high-volume traders and an 82% winner, bought the draw longshot around 8¢ despite the market now moving sharply against them.
- Several profitable traders backed the same draw outcome, including wallets up $2.35M and $357k lifetime.
- One buyer has won 82% of resolved bets and is up $52k on only 11 resolved positions.
- The trade is high-risk: they entered around 8¢, but the market has since fallen to 1¢.
$6,250 on Yes
95% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp wallet with a 95% resolved win record and strong cross-market history bought the draw at 24¢ despite this being a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $96K lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market record across 34 events, suggesting repeatable sports edge.
- Buying the draw at 24¢ implies they see a roughly 4x payout opportunity.
$2,377 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
96% win-rate serial bettor
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and +$346k P&L bought the draw at 24¢.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $346k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 83 events with $1.59M total staked.
- Buying the draw at 24¢ implies a roughly 4x payout if their read is right.
$2,880 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%
Sharp sports bettor buys draw
Sharp sports bettor with an 81% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought $8.5k of the draw at 24¢.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $40.9k lifetime.
- They put $8.5k on the draw at 24¢, implying a roughly 4.2x payout if it hits.
- Their past wins came at much harder prices on average, suggesting a real sports betting edge.
$8,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 11315232, $785,546
- 0xa66c...cd67 — Outcome 79983794, $68,345 (57% win rate)
- 0x6880...cf03 — Outcome 79983794, $35,417 (85% win rate)
- 0x424d...3b7e — Outcome 79983794, $34,855 (55% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 79983794, $27,957 (65% win rate)
- 0xbe7e...6d00 — Outcome 79983794, $25,535 (68% win rate)
- 0xa4fd...748b — Outcome 79983794, $20,833 (88% win rate)
- 0x9f7b...7f37 — Outcome 79983794, $19,894 (94% win rate)
- 0x9cda...1397 — Outcome 79983794, $16,667 (82% win rate)
- 0xc087...dbba — Outcome 79983794, $16,667 (66% win rate)
Related Theses
Fonseca beats Mensik
Covers 1 related market
Argentina wins on June 16
Covers 1 related market
Iran wins on June 15
Covers 1 related market
