Part of: Colombia vs. Ghana
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
34 smart money signals detected, totaling $852,837.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Serial cross-market buyer
Serial cross-market trader bought $10k of Colombia Yes at 87¢ amid a major pre-game volume surge and strong upward price move, though their lifetime P&L is negative.
- This wallet has traded across 322 events and wins 75% of resolved bets, but is down lifetime overall.
- They bought $10,000 of Yes at 87¢ before the market moved to 92%.
- Market volume is spiking 13x above normal and Colombia has moved up 24 percentage points in the past day.
$10,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
95% winner buying favorite
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 95% resolved win rate bought $27.8k of Colombia Yes at 87¢ ahead of a major volume spike and immediate move to 92%.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $120k lifetime.
- They put $27.8k on Colombia at 87¢, and the market has already moved to 92%.
- This wallet has traded 48 markets across 34 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
$27,811 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
82% win-rate serial sharp
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 82% win rate and $417k lifetime profit bought Colombia Yes into strong market momentum.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $417k lifetime.
- They have traded across 675 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports/event edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Colombia Yes has moved up 18 points in the last day, with volume running 11x above normal.
$1,740 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
89% serial sports sharp
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 89% win rate and +$268k lifetime P&L bought Colombia Yes despite a highly liquid market.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $268k lifetime.
- They have traded across 215 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process rather than a one-off bet.
- Market volume spiked 21x before the game, with Colombia up 19 percentage points over the past day.
$3,080 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable serial sports whale
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is re-entering Colombia Yes with a $19k buy amid a 21x volume spike and sharp upward price move.
- This bettor is up $646k lifetime across 421 resolved markets.
- They have traded 293 markets across 103 events, suggesting a repeatable sports strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- Colombia Yes has jumped 19 points in a day, with volume running 21x above normal.
$19,175 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%
Sharp serial sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 78% long-term win rate and $121,969 profit is buying Colombia Yes into strong pre-game momentum.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $121,969 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 78 events with the same 78% win rate.
- Colombia has moved up 17 points in the last day, with a 31x volume spike before the match.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
Cross-market No cluster
Three wallets are coordinating a contrarian No position after a major Colombia price rally, with related cross-market positioning on the same event.
- Three wallets all sold Colombia at 84¢, equivalent to buying No around 16¢.
- The same event has $187k of cross-market positioning across 3 markets, suggesting a broader game thesis.
- Volume is running 10x normal and Colombia is up 18 points, so this looks like a coordinated fade after a big rally.
$4,543 on No
Elite 92% sports bettor
Elite bettor with 92% historical win rate bought Colombia at 65¢ before a sharp move to 84¢ amid heavy pre-event volume and price momentum.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $701K lifetime.
- They bought Colombia at 65¢ before the market jumped to 84¢, showing strong timing.
- This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 188 events with a 92% hit rate.
$1,212 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
94% winner backing favorite
Sharp sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Colombia Yes at 69¢.
- This bettor has won 16 of 17 resolved trades and is up $18k lifetime.
- They bought $3k of Colombia Yes at 69¢ despite a highly liquid market.
- Entry at 69¢ implies they still see value in Colombia winning in regulation.
$6,836 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
Sharp bettor joins 18-wallet No flow
A proven 80% wallet bought No alongside a large 18-wallet one-sided flow, despite the market moving against that side since entry.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $40,405 lifetime.
- 18 wallets are all buying No, totaling $224,677 in one-sided flow.
- The wallet entered No at 32¢, while the market now prices it much cheaper at 16¢.
$1,010 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0xf031...c80c — Outcome 69650853, $1,004,888 (90% win rate)
- 0xc430...1ebf — Outcome 69650853, $498,581 (95% win rate)
- 0xc3ac...b964 — Outcome 69650853, $329,881 (73% win rate)
- 0xf751...fec8 — Outcome 69650853, $150,000 (50% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 69650853, $119,555
- 0x2220...1a0f — Outcome 69650853, $35,344 (50% win rate)
- 0x3f3a...e8fd — Outcome 69650853, $31,169 (56% win rate)
- 0xe653...c4a7 — Outcome 69650853, $30,000 (75% win rate)
- 0x2759...2b38 — Outcome 69650853, $29,412 (48% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 69650853, $26,750 (62% win rate)
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