Part of: CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-19?
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $50,078.
Categories: Sports, Games, Copa Libertadores, Soccer
Notable Trades
Serial high-volume bettor buys Yes
A highly experienced serial trader made a substantial Yes bet amid an extreme 215.9x volume surge, although the position is currently underwater and the historical record shows little edge over average entry odds.
- This bettor has 35,671 resolved trades, a 72% win rate, and $5.4 million in realized profit.
- The market saw a 215.9x surge over its historical trading pace, with more than $160,000 traded in 24 hours.
- The $2,720 Yes position was entered at 82¢ but the market is now around 72¢, so the signal warrants study more than blind copying.
$1,305 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
Sharp bettor exits overpriced favorite
A highly profitable serial trader sold Yes at 82% before the market fell to 72%, though the trade appears to be profit-taking from an existing position.
- This bettor has won 79% of 1,405 resolved trades and earned $1.65M in profit.
- They sold Yes at 82¢ before the price fell to 72%, correctly anticipating the favorite was overvalued.
- The position was previously held from 66¢, so this is stronger as a timely exit signal than a brand-new No conviction bet.
$1,964 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%
Serial high-volume bettor buys Yes
A highly experienced serial trader made a substantial Yes bet amid an extreme 215.9x volume surge, although the position is currently underwater and the historical record shows little edge over average entry odds.
- This bettor has 35,671 resolved trades, a 72% win rate, and $5.4 million in realized profit.
- The market saw a 215.9x surge over its historical trading pace, with more than $160,000 traded in 24 hours.
- The $2,720 Yes position was entered at 82¢ but the market is now around 72¢, so the signal warrants study more than blind copying.
$2,720 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
Sharp bettor leads Flamengo cluster
Three wallets bought Flamengo Yes around 68%, including a bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial edge, while the market subsequently rose to 82%.
- A bettor with a 92% win rate across 48 resolved trades bought Yes at 67¢.
- Three wallets collectively bought $6,844 of Yes around 68¢, and the price has since risen 14 percentage points.
- Two wallets were adding to existing Yes positions, reinforcing the group’s conviction rather than signaling routine profit-taking.
$6,844 on Yes
Elite serial bettor buys No
A highly profitable, serial cross-market bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial edge has placed a fresh $3,895 bet on No.
- This bettor has won 88% of 583 resolved positions and is up $2.39 million.
- The $3,895 purchase of No at 41¢ is a fresh, meaningful position from a trader whose average entry is only 48%.
- The wallet has traded 853 markets across 771 events, showing a broad and sustained track record rather than a one-off result.
$3,895 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Three-wallet No buying surge
Three wallets coordinated $9,555 of No purchases during an extreme volume spike, though the signal is moderately compelling rather than backed by a clearly sharp bettor.
- Three wallets bought No together for $9,555 at 40¢ during a 6,293x historical volume spike.
- One wallet has already invested $13,749 in No and is adding to its position.
- The coordinated flow is notable, but the market remains liquid and the wallets' track records do not show a decisive odds-adjusted edge.
$9,555 on No
Sharp bettor scales into Flamengo Yes
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial edge is adding $22.8K to an existing Yes position despite the market already pricing Flamengo at 60%.
- This bettor wins 92% of 193 resolved trades and is up $2.4M lifetime.
- They added $22,793 to an existing $65,000 Yes position, signaling continued conviction at 60¢.
- The trade coincided with a 5,764x historical volume spike, although the market has deep liquidity.
$22,793 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Sharp bettor scaling into Flamengo Yes
A highly profitable sports bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Flamengo Yes position at 59¢.
- This bettor wins 85% of 234 resolved trades and is up $42,654 lifetime.
- They are adding $1,003 to an existing Yes position, bringing their investment to $3,603 at 59¢.
- The trade represents roughly 17% of the market’s 24-hour volume in a relatively thin sports market.
$1,003 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0xc6b1...78fd — Outcome 45976049, $15,500 (93% win rate)
- 0xc974...b33b — Outcome 45976049, $9,499 (88% win rate)
- 0xbd93...56c0 — Outcome 45976049, $8,723 (89% win rate)
- 0x9b78...473d — Outcome 45976049, $5,658 (79% win rate)
- 0x3f3d...2e18 — Outcome 45976049, $2,736 (50% win rate)
- 0xd202...1ef5 — Outcome 45976049, $2,070 (64% win rate)
- 0x8868...ec09 — Outcome 45976049, $1,640 (59% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 45976049, $1,219 (78% win rate)
- 0x6be9...5998 — Outcome 45976049, $1,145 (57% win rate)
- 0xf68a...5b1b — Outcome 45976049, $1,090 (53% win rate)
Related Theses
Brazil wins low-scoring shutout
Covers 14 related markets
Paraguay fails to win
Covers 3 related markets
Austria routs Argentina after halftime
Covers 9 related markets
Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless
Covers 10 related markets
Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet
Covers 8 related markets
Ecuador wins big to nil
Covers 7 related markets
Tunisia beats Japan 3-0
Covers 9 related markets
Iraq upsets toothless France
Covers 15 related markets
France wins exactly 2-0
Covers 10 related markets
Norway and Senegal draw
Covers 3 related markets
