Part of: England vs. Croatia
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $190,147.
Categories: Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp-heavy 12-wallet cluster
High-score one-sided Yes cluster with $98.6K from 12 wallets, multiple sharp profiles, and a 30x volume spike, though some No sells appear to be position-closing.
- 12 wallets put $98.6K toward Yes, including two large buys totaling about $55K at 16¢.
- Several wallets have strong records, including one that wins 92% of resolved bets and another with 83% over 2,431 bets.
- Volume jumped 30x versus normal activity, suggesting coordinated conviction before resolution.
$98,573 on Yes
92% winner backs No
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 92% resolved win rate bought $13.9k of Croatia No amid a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $28.9k lifetime.
- They have traded 46 markets across 31 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
- The market saw a 38.7x volume spike, and this wallet put $13.9k on No at 84¢.
$13,919 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
New profitable whale buying NO
A 1-day-old repeat whale with early profits is adding a $6.3k NO bet amid a major pre-game volume spike.
- This 1-day-old wallet has already put $32.6k into flagged bets and is up $1.9k.
- The bettor is 4-for-4 on resolved positions so far, despite being very new.
- Market volume is surging 51x above its historical average before the match.
$6,348 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
Sharp 5-wallet underdog push
A 5-wallet one-sided buy cluster includes multiple highly profitable bettors, led by a 96% winner up $1.47M, buying $73.5k of Yes at 17¢ into a major volume spike.
- Lead bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $1.47M lifetime.
- Five wallets bought $73.5k on the same side, including three profitable bettors with strong records.
- Market volume spiked 51x, and entry at 17¢ implies a nearly 6x payout if it hits.
$29,152 on Yes
97% win-rate sports bettor
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 97% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought No on Croatia at 83¢.
- This bettor has won 111 of 114 resolved bets and is up $20,930 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 26 events with a 97% hit rate.
- Entry at 83¢ suggests they see Croatia not winning as a high-probability outcome.
$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 98%
Perfect-record sports bettor
Sharp-wallet override: a 10-for-10 profitable bettor placed a $30k No bet despite the alert’s low composite score.
- This bettor has won 10 of 10 resolved bets and is up about $18k lifetime.
- They put $30.4k on No at 82¢, nearly 90% of the market’s 24h volume.
- This is a sports market with strong liquidity, so the wallet’s track record is the main signal.
$30,377 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
New profitable wallet buying longshot
A 3-day-old wallet with early profits made a fresh $9.8k buy on Croatia Yes at 19¢, suggesting high conviction despite a limited track record.
- This 3-day-old wallet is already up $1.8k and is now making a much larger $9.8k bet.
- Buying at 19¢ means they see Croatia as a longshot with roughly 5x payout if it hits.
- The wallet has 4 resolved bets so far with 3 wins, but the track record is still early.
$9,777 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0x6149...b48c — Outcome 55443738, $372,589 (55% win rate)
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 55443738, $291,248 (96% win rate)
- 0xedd9...f79b — Outcome 55443738, $199,999
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 90344801, $191,678
- 0x8b5a...00f2 — Outcome 55443738, $147,323 (51% win rate)
- 0x47a8...52f9 — Outcome 55443738, $110,000 (98% win rate)
- 0x8bae...a34c — Outcome 55443738, $101,458 (86% win rate)
- 0xd1ed...d7cb — Outcome 55443738, $77,432 (60% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 55443738, $74,919 (72% win rate)
- 0xaa55...fae5 — Outcome 55443738, $58,824 (33% win rate)
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