Part of: Croatia vs. Ghana
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 27, 2026 If Croatia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,023,026.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp exits with No cluster
Despite this wallet partly looking like profit-taking, the alert is worth surfacing because a 98% lifetime bettor is exiting Yes while a 45-wallet linked cluster is taking the same No side into a major price move.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $157k lifetime.
- 45 wallets are on the No side for $267k, including linked wallets moving together.
- The market has surged 41 points in a day, but this sharp trader sold Yes at 90¢ instead of holding.
$1,309 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%
89% winner fading favorite
Very sharp 89% win-rate wallet joined a large one-sided No cluster, though the market has since moved sharply against the position.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $240k lifetime.
- 45 wallets put $266k on the same No side, with some linked funding.
- The position has moved against them from 34¢ to about 4¢, making this a contrarian long-shot follow.
$2,189 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
92% winner backing Yes
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 92% long-term win rate bought Croatia Yes despite the market already moving sharply higher.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $680K lifetime.
- They have traded across 174 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge.
- Croatia Yes has already moved up 27 points in 24h, and this sharp wallet is still buying at 81¢.
$1,221 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
New repeat sports bettor
A two-day-old wallet is repeatedly placing large sports bets, already showing early profit, and bought $3.5k of Croatia Yes despite a sharp recent move higher.
- This two-day-old wallet has already made 5 flagged large bets totaling $10.6k.
- The bettor is 2-for-2 on resolved markets and up $1.6k so far.
- They bought Croatia at 82¢ after the market moved up 25 points in a day, signaling continued conviction.
$3,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
80% winner re-enters Yes
Sharp sports wallet with an 80% resolved win rate and positive P&L is re-entering Croatia Yes despite weak standalone signal strength.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $4.3k lifetime.
- They bought Croatia Yes at 83¢ after previously closing a similar Yes position.
- The market has moved strongly toward Yes, up 25 points in the past day.
$4,900 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%
92% winner backing Yes
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 92% long-term win rate bought Croatia Yes despite the market already moving sharply higher.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $680K lifetime.
- They have traded across 174 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge.
- Croatia Yes has already moved up 27 points in 24h, and this sharp wallet is still buying at 81¢.
$1,221 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
Profitable No-side cluster
A profitable serial cross-market trader and 7-wallet cluster are taking the No side, though the market has moved sharply toward Yes.
- This bettor is up $185k lifetime across 389 resolved trades.
- Seven wallets have all taken the No side, totaling about $23k in the same direction.
- The market has moved hard toward Yes, so this is a contrarian No position against recent momentum.
$3,994 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%
7-wallet No cluster
Seven wallets bought Croatia No in the same window, creating a notable coordinated-flow signal, though the position has moved sharply against them since entry.
- Seven wallets all backed the same No outcome, totaling about $23k in coordinated flow.
- This wallet has a long betting history and is up about $208k lifetime despite only winning 54% of resolved bets.
- The trade is risky: they entered No at 49¢, but the market has since moved to about 20¢.
$6,485 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
82% winner joins Yes cluster
Sharp 82% winner with strong lifetime profit is buying Croatia Yes alongside 8-wallet same-direction flow.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $69,886 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 214 events, suggesting a repeatable sports/event edge.
- 8 wallets are all buying the same side, adding $37,629 of Yes demand.
$1,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 39%
Sharp bettor joins 8-wallet Yes flow
Sharp profitable sports bettor with an 84% record is buying Croatia Yes alongside one-sided flow from 8 wallets.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $79k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 54 events with the same 84% win record.
- Eight wallets are all buying Yes, totaling $37.6k in one-sided flow.
$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0x3496...8fc4 — No, $2,052,828 (44% win rate)
- 0xf031...c80c — No, $1,050,000 (89% win rate)
- 0x224a...a3d5 — No, $975,338 (67% win rate)
- 0xd44f...7842 — No, $748,228 (100% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $713,513
- 0xc41d...74fd — No, $389,446 (97% win rate)
- 0x9ee8...89de — No, $326,894 (83% win rate)
- 0x8b5a...00f2 — No, $250,000 (52% win rate)
- 0xf3c7...c83b — No, $230,180 (87% win rate)
- 0xa6d1...286a — No, $144,348 (91% win rate)
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