Part of: Portugal vs. Croatia

Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

This Polymarket market asks whether Croatia will win its July 2, 2026 FIFA World Cup match in regular time, including stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalties. It resolves Yes if Croatia wins, and No if Croatia draws, loses, or if the match is canceled with no make-up game. PolySpotter is tracking $3,500 in smart money activity across 1 signal for this market.

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 2, 2026 If Croatia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,500.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp serial sports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 81% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Croatia Yes at 20¢.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $94k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 42 events with $1.3M deployed, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 20¢ implies they see Croatia as a much better chance than the market price.

$3,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

  1. 0x204f...5e14 No, $52,811 (53% win rate)
  2. 0x2117...5c26 Yes, $51,076 (41% win rate)
  3. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $31,034
  4. 0xd331...733c Yes, $18,380 (67% win rate)
  5. 0x82ba...afea Yes, $17,500 (81% win rate)
  6. 0xadfb...c2ef No, $6,000
  7. 0x6d3c...d294 No, $4,542 (50% win rate)
  8. 0xf742...e039 No, $4,541 (41% win rate)
  9. 0x7ea5...de7b No, $3,250 (61% win rate)
  10. 0x9703...69c2 No, $2,688

Related Theses

World Cup goes chalk

Covers 4 related markets

Brazil wins on June 24

Covers 1 related market

Croatia wins on July 2

Covers 1 related market

Germany wins on June 29

Covers 1 related market

Netherlands win on June 29

Covers 1 related market

Senegal wins on July first

Covers 1 related market

Brazil Japan exceeds 2.5 goals

Covers 1 related market

Germany wins June 25

Covers 1 related market

Canada wins on June 28

Covers 1 related market

Austria and Algeria both win

Covers 2 related markets

Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

17hPortugal vs. Croatia$3,500 tracked1 signalSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup
Yes
20¢
No
81¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 2, 2026 If Croatia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No
82¢
81¢
79¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

3d ago

$3,500 on Yes at 20¢

20¢20¢

Related Theses