Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-12?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,593.
Categories: Premier League, EPL, Sports, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
Three-wallet contrarian Yes cluster
Three wallets committed nearly $11.8K to Yes during a 236x historical volume spike, creating a notable coordinated contrarian position despite the market moving down to 44%.
- Three wallets bought nearly $11,800 of Yes, with entries between 53¢ and 66¢.
- The market saw a 236x spike versus its historical trading average, suggesting unusually concentrated interest.
- One participant wins 78% of 4,417 resolved bets, though the position is currently underwater as Yes has fallen to 44%.
$11,788 on Yes
Serial cross-market trader turns bearish
A highly active serial trader sold Crystal Palace Yes at 66¢ amid an extreme volume spike, and the market has since fallen to 44¢.
- This wallet has traded across 935 events, with 4,417 resolved bets and a 78% win rate.
- The trader sold Yes at 66¢, equivalent to buying No at 34¢, ahead of a sharp move to 44% Yes.
- Trading volume was 236.7 times its historical average, adding significance to the bearish positioning.
$2,164 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%
Elite serial bettor buying No
A highly proven bettor with 931 resolved trades and a substantial edge is buying No at 56% in a liquid soccer market.
- This bettor wins 81% of 931 resolved trades and is up $245,311 lifetime.
- Their results show a 25% edge over implied odds, making this fresh No exposure especially notable.
- They are buying No at 56¢ while the market is near 56%, with a tight 1¢ spread.
$1,244 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp cluster scaling into No
Five wallets concentrated $27.6K into No, including highly profitable bettors, alongside a 960x volume spike and a 7-point move toward No.
- Five wallets bought No for $27,640, including one bettor with an 86% win rate across 370 resolved positions and another with $1.4M in lifetime profit.
- The market saw a 960x historical volume spike, while Yes fell 7 percentage points in one day as No gained support.
- The cluster entered No around 54–56¢, implying Crystal Palace has less than roughly a 45% chance to win.
$11,396 on No
Top Holders
- 0xbffd...38f6 — Outcome 32657257, $21,630 (51% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 32657257, $18,500
- 0x6d11...c449 — Outcome 32657257, $15,670 (66% win rate)
- 0x673d...1a91 — Outcome 32657257, $11,955 (69% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 32657257, $9,717 (58% win rate)
- 0xd546...657b — Outcome 32657257, $5,471
- 0xa67e...1c83 — Outcome 32657257, $5,000 (89% win rate)
- 0x5f0e...7397 — Outcome 32657257, $4,016 (56% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 73809345, $3,680
- 0xae7f...6f49 — Outcome 32657257, $3,368 (94% win rate)
Related Theses
France or Spain win, not Argentina/England
Covers 4 related markets
France will defeat England
Covers 1 related market
