Part of: Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final

Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,000.

Notable Trades

New wallet on thin market

Brand-new wallet made a $2k Yes bet on a thin Eurovision market, over 3x the past day's volume, suggesting concentrated conviction despite no track record.

A 1-hour-old wallet put $2,000 on Yes in a quiet market with only $578 traded in the past day.
The bet was 346% of the market’s 24-hour volume, a large conviction move for this order book.
Entry at 74¢ means the bettor is paying above the current 69¢ odds and sees Czechia as likely to advance.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 57%

Top Holders

0x0336...4bb0 — Outcome 10679902, $4,347 (96% win rate)
0x8ad8...cd62 — Outcome 10679902, $2,325
0xb8ee...9e81 — Outcome 10679902, $2,075 (60% win rate)
0xa23d...da1f — Outcome 10679902, $1,676
0x25c2...5b28 — Outcome 10679902, $1,585
0x588d...099a — Outcome 10679902, $1,000 (25% win rate)
0x4447...e040 — Outcome 10679902, $1,000
0xa9ab...d0a0 — Outcome 10679902, $968
0x2c12...d725 — Outcome 42142196, $968
0x0b63...52cf — Outcome 10679902, $912

Related Theses

Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

ResolvedEurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final$2,000 tracked1 signalEurovisionMusicCulture

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.