This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $258k lifetime. They bought No at 27¢, fading a market that currently prices Denmark top-10 around 76%. The market is liquid enough to copy, and No is now around 24¢, slightly better than their entry.

Part of: Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,521.

Categories: Music, Eurovision, Awards, Culture

Notable Trades

86% winner buys NO

A highly profitable sharp wallet with an 86% record and $258k lifetime profit bought Denmark top-10 No at 27¢.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $258k lifetime.
They bought No at 27¢, fading a market that currently prices Denmark top-10 around 76%.
The market is liquid enough to copy, and No is now around 24¢, slightly better than their entry.

$1,311 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

Proven winner buying favorite

Surfaced despite weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a strong 80% record across 363 resolved bets and positive lifetime P&L.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $13.3K lifetime.
They put $2.2K on Yes at 85¢, a large buy relative to recent activity in this market.
The wallet has 363 resolved bets, so the track record is much stronger than a one-off wager.

$2,210 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

0x6db9...4ab5 — Outcome 88581073, $9,356 (85% win rate)
0x56d4...9c57 — Outcome 88581073, $4,854 (86% win rate)
0x168a...da29 — Outcome 88581073, $2,848 (79% win rate)
0x20f7...5527 — Outcome 88581073, $2,634 (92% win rate)
0x94c4...43ca — Outcome 88581073, $1,855 (78% win rate)
0x4447...e040 — Outcome 88581073, $1,713
0x0336...4bb0 — Outcome 88581073, $1,055 (95% win rate)
0x4f07...0170 — Outcome 88581073, $1,000 (87% win rate)
0xcb14...5358 — Outcome 88581073, $950
0x4f07...2036 — Outcome 88581073, $808

Related Theses

Denmark top ten, Norway misses

Covers 2 related markets

Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

ResolvedEurovision 2026: Top 10$3,521 tracked2 signalsMusicEurovisionAwardsCulture

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Notable Trades