Part of: Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca

Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-05-03?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,157.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Liga MX

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial sports trader bought No after a major price breakout against Toluca, suggesting informed momentum despite modest trade size.

This bettor has won 61% of 220 resolved markets and is up about $204k lifetime.
They bought No at 83¢ after the market moved sharply against Toluca.
The No price broke far above its prior 47–51¢ range, showing strong late momentum.

$1,579 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

92% winner buying underdog

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and extensive cross-market history bought the underdog despite the market moving lower.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $285,783 lifetime.
They have traded 127 related events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge rather than a one-off bet.
The market has moved against them, so the same Yes side is currently cheaper than their 30¢ entry.

$2,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 47%

Perfect-record trader joins No cluster

Surface: a 4-wallet No cluster includes a perfect 62/62 bettor with $235K profit and extensive cross-market history, buying into a live soccer market near resolution.

One wallet in this cluster has won 62 of 62 resolved bets and is up $235K.
Four wallets bought $7.1K of No within minutes, with entries from 47¢ to 51¢.
The sharp wallet has traded across 56 events with a perfect resolved record.

$7,078 on No

Top Holders

0x1250...8f99 — Outcome 10297518, $1,449 (77% win rate)
0xe970...d76a — Outcome 10297518, $926 (91% win rate)
0xe3b4...7730 — Outcome 10297518, $540 (69% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 35571655, $513
0xca34...8cb1 — Outcome 10297518, $500
0x2779...239a — Outcome 10297518, $295 (74% win rate)
0x2dc0...e57d — Outcome 10297518, $279
0xddb6...b9b3 — Outcome 10297518, $151
0x8a2a...420a — Outcome 10297518, $134
0xaa12...924d — Outcome 10297518, $125

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-05-03?

ResolvedDeportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca$11,157 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLiga MX

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 3, 2026 If Deportivo Toluca FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.