Part of: Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas

Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-12?

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,275.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Leagues Cup

Notable Trades

Serial bettor adds to No

A highly experienced serial trader is adding to an existing No position during an extreme 207.8x market-volume spike, though the trader's historical edge over entry odds is modest.

This bettor has won 80% of 3,444 resolved trades and is up $118,821 lifetime.
They added $1,634 to an existing No position at 35¢ while the market shows an exceptional 207.8x volume spike.
The No position is now priced near 30¢, while the market has moved 25.5 percentage points toward Yes over the past week.

$1,634 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%

Serial trader sells Toluca confidence

A serial cross-market trader made a sizable bearish position amid a 207.8x pre-event volume spike, and the market subsequently fell from 75% to 70% Yes.

This wallet has traded across 127 events and 154 markets, with 1,572 resolved bets and $192,589 in reported profit.
A $3,725 sell of Yes at 75¢ coincided with a 207.8x surge over historical volume, followed by Yes falling to 70%.
The trade implies buying No around 25¢, offering roughly 3-to-1 upside if Toluca fails to win.

$3,725 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%

99% win-rate sports bettor

A highly experienced sports-market trader with a 99% win rate and substantial implied-odds edge bought Yes at 71¢ in a market that has already risen 25.5% over the past week.

This bettor has won 1,771 of 1,788 resolved positions, with $17.0M in reported profit.
The wallet buys Toluca Yes at 71¢ despite a 25.5% weekly price rise, signaling continued conviction.
Its 892-event history and 43-point edge over average implied odds make this a strong copy-trade signal.

$1,775 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%

Sharp bettors scaling into No

A proven 91% bettor and an 84% bettor are adding substantial No exposure despite the market moving toward Yes, creating a meaningful contrarian signal.

A bettor who wins 91% of trades, up $136,032, bought No repeatedly around 35–36¢.
Four wallets committed $10,900 to No, including another bettor with an 84% win rate and $41,570 profit.
No has fallen to 30¢ while Yes rose 24% over the week, so this is a sizable contrarian position rather than momentum chasing.

$10,900 on No

Serial profitable bettor buys Yes

A highly experienced profitable trader bought Yes during a 40x volume spike, with the market subsequently rising 17% in a relatively concentrated sports market.

This bettor has won 66% of 17,042 resolved bets and is up $5.76 million lifetime.
The $1,116 Yes purchase at 64¢ arrived during a 40x volume spike, while the market has risen to 68%.
The trader has activity across 2,058 markets, providing more context than an isolated sports wager.

$1,116 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%

Sharp bettor adds to No

A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding to an existing No position despite strong recent Yes momentum.

This bettor has won 91% of 22 resolved positions and is up $136,032.
They are adding $1,050 to an existing No position at 35¢, signaling continued conviction.
The market has surged 18.5% toward Yes in one day while trading volume spiked 102×, making the contrarian position notable.

$1,050 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

Sharp bettor scaling into No

A proven bettor with a 90% win rate and substantial edge is adding $1,854 to an existing No position despite the market favoring Yes.

This bettor has won 90% of 20 resolved trades and is up $37,015.
They added $1,854 to an existing No position, bringing their investment to over $9,300.
The No entry at 37¢ implies they see meaningful value against the market’s 64% Yes price.

$1,421 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Sharp bettor scaling into No

A proven bettor with a 90% win rate and substantial edge is adding $1,854 to an existing No position despite the market favoring Yes.

This bettor has won 90% of 20 resolved trades and is up $37,015.
They added $1,854 to an existing No position, bringing their investment to over $9,300.
The No entry at 37¢ implies they see meaningful value against the market’s 64% Yes price.

$1,288 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

91% winner scaling into No

A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing No position at 35-36¢ despite the market favoring Yes.

This bettor has won 20 of 22 trades and earned $136,032 on $670,935 invested.
They added $2,512 to an existing No position at 35-36¢, signaling increased conviction that Toluca will not win.
The market prices No at about 36%, while this bettor’s historical entries have produced a 46% edge over implied odds.

$2,512 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

Sharp bettor scaling into No

A proven bettor with a 90% win rate and substantial edge is adding $1,854 to an existing No position despite the market favoring Yes.

This bettor has won 90% of 20 resolved trades and is up $37,015.
They added $1,854 to an existing No position, bringing their investment to over $9,300.
The No entry at 37¢ implies they see meaningful value against the market’s 64% Yes price.

$1,854 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

0x719b...30e5 — Outcome 49560524, $23,369 (88% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 49560524, $10,559 (64% win rate)
0x56b9...79a2 — Outcome 49560524, $10,506 (91% win rate)
0x9f15...bdb3 — Outcome 49560524, $3,453 (75% win rate)
0xfb2c...5280 — Outcome 49560524, $3,310 (76% win rate)
0xc2c8...142b — Outcome 49560524, $2,945 (59% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 49560524, $1,652
0x9bd1...864b — Outcome 49560524, $1,484 (88% win rate)
0x4348...f08a — Outcome 49560524, $1,442
0x674b...8284 — Outcome 49560524, $1,152

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France or Spain win, not Argentina/England

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Covers 1 related market

Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-12?

ResolvedDeportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas$27,275 tracked10 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLeagues Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 12, 2026 If Deportivo Toluca FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes”

92¢

64¢

37¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction