Part of: Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Austin FC

Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-26?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,925.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Leagues Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp bettors scaling into No

Five wallets committed $20,156 to No, including two highly profitable bettors with 89% and 96% win rates, while market activity spiked sharply.

  • Five wallets bought No for $20,156, creating a strong one-sided position in a liquid sports market.
  • Two participating bettors win 89% and 96% of resolved trades, with lifetime profits of $209,000 and $684,000.
  • The $20,156 flow arrived during a 29.8x volume spike, and several wallets were adding to existing No positions.

$20,156 on No

99% winner scaling into Toluca Yes

A highly profitable serial trader with a 99% win rate and substantial positive edge added $21.8K to an existing Toluca Yes position despite the market moving against them.

  • This bettor has won 78 of 79 resolved trades, with a 99% win rate and $3.6M lifetime profit.
  • They added $21,769 to an existing Yes position, bringing total investment on Toluca above $156,000.
  • The trades entered around 58¢ imply strong conviction that Yes is undervalued near the current 56¢ price.

$21,769 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1171...98dc Outcome 10759554, $26,100 (89% win rate)
  2. 0x0744...d0f7 Outcome 10759554, $20,000 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x3f3a...e8fd Outcome 10759554, $16,746 (71% win rate)
  4. 0x3b62...5cc8 Outcome 10759554, $15,000 (100% win rate)
  5. 0xc41b...cc4b Outcome 10759554, $8,263 (74% win rate)
  6. 0x9e9e...936e Outcome 10759554, $6,300 (66% win rate)
  7. 0xee0b...e6d4 Outcome 10759554, $5,976 (73% win rate)
  8. 0x29cc...3c29 Outcome 10759554, $5,800 (96% win rate)
  9. 0x719b...30e5 Outcome 10759554, $5,147 (90% win rate)
  10. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 10759554, $3,610 (65% win rate)

Related Theses

Mirassol-LDU will be high-scoring

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Toluca wins by multiple goals

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Portland Timbers win by two-plus goals

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Guadalajara will win on August 12

Covers 1 related market

San Diego FC will not win

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CF América will not win

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EC Vitória will win on August 16

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Portland Timbers will cover

Covers 1 related market

Philadelphia Union will win on August 16

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Cruzeiro-Flamengo will be high-scoring

Covers 1 related market

Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-26?

ResolvedDeportivo Toluca FC vs. Austin FC$41,925 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLeagues Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 26, 2026 If Deportivo Toluca FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes
67¢
50¢
33¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-26?

16d ago

$20,156 on No at 41¢

Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-26?

16d ago

$21,769 on Yes at 58¢

Related Theses