This bettor wins 90% of their trades and is up about $165k over 1,241 resolved bets. The market has surged from about 50¢ to 88-90¢ in a day, and this wallet still bought into the move. They paid 90¢ in a market with heavy recent volume, signaling confidence even at a very high implied probability.

This bettor wins 95% of their resolved trades and is up about $157k overall. They bought No at 53¢, close to the current market price, suggesting a measured edge rather than chasing a move. The bet is modest versus market liquidity, but the track record is strong enough to make it worth following.

Part of: Derby County FC vs. Oxford United FC

Will Derby County FC win on 2026-04-18?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,299.

Categories: Games, Sports, Soccer, EFL Championship

Notable Trades

90% win-rate chaser

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 90% win rate bought into a fast-moving match market after a major price breakout, making this momentum-following trade worth noting despite the modest size.

This bettor wins 90% of their trades and is up about $165k over 1,241 resolved bets.
The market has surged from about 50¢ to 88-90¢ in a day, and this wallet still bought into the move.
They paid 90¢ in a market with heavy recent volume, signaling confidence even at a very high implied probability.

$1,799 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

95% win-rate bettor

A bettor with an exceptional 95% win rate and strong profitability is buying No at 53¢, making this a credible sharp-money signal despite the modest size.

This bettor wins 95% of their resolved trades and is up about $157k overall.
They bought No at 53¢, close to the current market price, suggesting a measured edge rather than chasing a move.
The bet is modest versus market liquidity, but the track record is strong enough to make it worth following.

$2,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 63%

Top Holders

0x083c...3f02 — Outcome 34036081, $10,000 (83% win rate)
0xf57e...bbd6 — Outcome 34036081, $4,732 (63% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 34036081, $2,507 (71% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 34036081, $996 (56% win rate)
0x0c84...a8ed — Outcome 34036081, $900 (94% win rate)
0x84ad...bfb7 — Outcome 34036081, $714 (55% win rate)
0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 34036081, $619 (63% win rate)
0x1aa2...30cc — Outcome 34036081, $384 (91% win rate)
0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 34036081, $383 (63% win rate)
0xe0a2...40d5 — Outcome 34036081, $287 (91% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will Derby County FC win on 2026-04-18?

ResolvedDerby County FC vs. Oxford United FC$4,299 tracked2 signalsGamesSportsSoccerEFL Championship

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 18, 2026 If Derby County FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.