This bettor wins 97% of resolved bets and is up $4.8M lifetime. They have traded 132 related sports events with the same 97% hit rate. Buying No at 48¢ implies they see Derby as less likely to win than the market suggests.

This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $4.8M lifetime. They have traded across 131 events with the same 97% hit rate, suggesting a durable sports edge. Entry at 47¢ implies they see No as underpriced despite a tight, liquid market.

Part of: Derby County FC vs. Sheffield United FC

Will Derby County FC win on 2026-05-02?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,278.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, EFL Championship

Notable Trades

97% winner buying NO

Elite 97% win-rate sports bettor with $4.8M profit bought Derby County NO amid a large pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 97% of resolved bets and is up $4.8M lifetime.
They have traded 132 related sports events with the same 97% hit rate.
Buying No at 48¢ implies they see Derby as less likely to win than the market suggests.

$5,753 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

Profitable sports bettor buying Yes

A profitable sports bettor with a 79% resolved-bet record bought Derby Yes amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 15 of 19 resolved bets and is up $15.6K lifetime.
They bought $3K of Yes at 53¢ as market activity spiked 439x above normal.
Entry at 53¢ suggests they see value despite Derby already being a slight favorite.

$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

97% sharp buying NO

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate and $4.8M P&L is buying No, backed by a long serial cross-market track record.

This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $4.8M lifetime.
They have traded across 131 events with the same 97% hit rate, suggesting a durable sports edge.
Entry at 47¢ implies they see No as underpriced despite a tight, liquid market.

$2,525 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

0x0fde...abce — Outcome 51025723, $5,660 (85% win rate)
0x5c74...4ef0 — Outcome 51025723, $2,236 (94% win rate)
0x3fd9...1ef0 — Outcome 51025723, $2,061 (95% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 51025723, $1,766 (55% win rate)
0x6945...873d — Outcome 51025723, $1,111 (100% win rate)
0x8a1b...0042 — Outcome 51025723, $1,000
0x5d0a...dda0 — Outcome 51025723, $736 (50% win rate)
0x660d...56ac — Outcome 51025723, $708
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 77657001, $539
0x93ff...84d1 — Outcome 51025723, $400

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Will Derby County FC win on 2026-05-02?

ResolvedDerby County FC vs. Sheffield United FC$11,278 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerEFL Championship

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 2, 2026 If Derby County FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.