A $4.5K No buy overwhelmed a very quiet market with only about $263 in liquidity. The bet was roughly half of total market volume and came in at 50¢, with No now around 52¢. The wide 77¢ spread means this is risky to chase, but the size suggests strong conviction.

Part of: Ecuador vs. Guatemala

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-07?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,537.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly

Notable Trades

Profitable serial contrarian

Serial sports/cross-market trader with a 69% resolved-bet record is taking a contrarian position against Ecuador at long odds, though the trade size is moderate and the market is fairly liquid.

This bettor has traded across 58 events and has won 69% of 112 resolved bets.
They are up $18.6k lifetime and are taking the unpopular side against a 90% favorite.
Selling Yes at 90¢ is equivalent to buying No at 10¢, a long-shot position with about 10x payout if Ecuador fails to win.

$2,141 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%

83% winner buying favorite

Surface because this is a proven profitable sports bettor with an 83% record over 223 resolved bets buying Ecuador Yes despite the alert’s low composite score.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved bets and is up $18,138 lifetime.
They bought Ecuador Yes at 84¢, adding a $1,366 position on a liquid soccer market.
The market has already moved up 34.5 points this week, and this sharp wallet is still buying.

$1,366 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

98% winner buying favorite

A highly experienced cross-market trader with a 98% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Ecuador Yes at 84¢.

This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $16.6k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 158 events and $3.2M flagged volume.
Ecuador Yes has already moved up 32.5 points this week, and this wallet is still adding at 84¢.

$1,344 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%

98% serial sports trader

Serial cross-market bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Ecuador Yes at 83¢.

This bettor has won 98% of 1,089 resolved markets and is up $16.6k lifetime.
They are a very active cross-market trader, with $3.16M bet across 157 events.
Entry at 83¢ follows a big weekly move, with Ecuador Yes up 32.5 points over the past week.

$1,185 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%

Thin-market No whale

A single $4.5K No buy on an extremely illiquid soccer market is notable despite no wallet track record because it dwarfs recent activity and available liquidity.

A $4.5K No buy overwhelmed a very quiet market with only about $263 in liquidity.
The bet was roughly half of total market volume and came in at 50¢, with No now around 52¢.
The wide 77¢ spread means this is risky to chase, but the size suggests strong conviction.

$4,501 on No | Wallet win rate: 22%

Top Holders

0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 62656999, $14,430 (65% win rate)
0x0346...52a5 — Outcome 62656999, $2,111 (53% win rate)
0x24a1...32f2 — Outcome 62656999, $1,596
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 62656999, $1,428
0x896a...688d — Outcome 62656999, $1,180 (70% win rate)
0x7a88...41cc — Outcome 62656999, $648 (63% win rate)
0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 62656999, $622 (71% win rate)
0x1cdd...e595 — Outcome 62656999, $557
0xcf73...0215 — Outcome 62656999, $500 (56% win rate)
0x2d6a...8add — Outcome 62656999, $500 (57% win rate)

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Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-07?

ResolvedEcuador vs. Guatemala$10,537 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFifa Friendly

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 7, 2026 If Ecuador wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.