Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?

21 smart money signals detected, totaling $231,686.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp serial sports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 78% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Ecuador Yes at 3%, despite the market now pricing it near 1%.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved positions and is up $62k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $904k deployed across 76 events.
Entry at 3¢ is a long-shot position, though the market has since moved down to 1¢.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

89% serial sports bettor

Serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved win rate bought $5.1k of No as market volume spiked, though the edge is tempered by modest lifetime profit and a liquid book.

This bettor has won 89% of 64 resolved bets across many sports markets.
They bought $5.1k of No at 78¢, backing Ecuador not to win in regulation.
Market activity is heating up, with volume running 11.6x above its historical average.

$5,048 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

Sharp serial sports bettor

Sharp sports bettor with an 86% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Ecuador Yes at 24¢.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $89K lifetime.
They have traded 72 events with the same strong 86% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Entry at 24¢ implies they see Ecuador as a ~4x payout opportunity.

$3,090 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 30%

Perfect-record sports bettor

Sharp serial sports bettor with a 79-0 resolved record and positive P&L bought Ecuador No at 78¢.

This bettor has won 79 of 79 resolved trades and is up $13,774 lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 57 events with a perfect resolved record.
Buying No at 78¢ suggests confidence Ecuador does not win in regulation.

$1,950 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

87% winner buying underdog

Sharp sports bettor with an 87% record and strong edge is buying Ecuador Yes despite a highly liquid market.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $4,041 lifetime.
Their past wins came at 34¢ average odds, suggesting a strong record finding mispriced underdogs.
Entry at 23¢ implies they see Ecuador as a roughly 4.3x opportunity.

$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

Perfect-record sports bettor

Sharp serial sports bettor with a 79-0 resolved record and positive P&L bought Ecuador No at 78¢.

This bettor has won 79 of 79 resolved trades and is up $13,774 lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 57 events with a perfect resolved record.
Buying No at 78¢ suggests confidence Ecuador does not win in regulation.

$1,950 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

89% serial sports bettor

Serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved win rate bought $5.1k of No as market volume spiked, though the edge is tempered by modest lifetime profit and a liquid book.

This bettor has won 89% of 64 resolved bets across many sports markets.
They bought $5.1k of No at 78¢, backing Ecuador not to win in regulation.
Market activity is heating up, with volume running 11.6x above its historical average.

$5,012 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

89% serial sports bettor

Serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved win rate bought $5.1k of No as market volume spiked, though the edge is tempered by modest lifetime profit and a liquid book.

This bettor has won 89% of 64 resolved bets across many sports markets.
They bought $5.1k of No at 78¢, backing Ecuador not to win in regulation.
Market activity is heating up, with volume running 11.6x above its historical average.

$5,077 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

Profitable whale leads $167K cluster

Strong copy-trade signal: a highly profitable 91% win-rate whale put $160K on Ecuador Yes, joined by a 4-wallet one-sided cluster and another sharp bettor.

A bettor who wins 91% of resolved positions and is up $2.7M put $160K on Yes.
Four wallets bought the same side for $167K total at 23–24¢.
Another wallet in the group wins 86% of bets and is up $106K lifetime.

$166,670 on Yes

Perfect-record sports bettor

Sharp serial sports bettor with a 79-0 resolved record and positive P&L bought Ecuador No at 78¢.

This bettor has won 79 of 79 resolved trades and is up $13,774 lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 57 events with a perfect resolved record.
Buying No at 78¢ suggests confidence Ecuador does not win in regulation.

$3,900 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 14753181, $2,699,973
0xf031...c80c — Outcome 95900004, $1,859,123 (88% win rate)
0x94d7...bef5 — Outcome 95900004, $81,200 (86% win rate)
0x85bb...9ada — Outcome 95900004, $60,737 (88% win rate)
0x10a6...4d8b — Outcome 95900004, $41,753 (78% win rate)
0x72b8...9915 — Outcome 95900004, $30,022 (100% win rate)
0x2fc5...6f99 — Outcome 95900004, $25,000 (62% win rate)
0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 95900004, $25,000 (99% win rate)
0x59f4...c1f1 — Outcome 95900004, $24,792 (56% win rate)
0x2aaf...b21a — Outcome 95900004, $21,739 (94% win rate)

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Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?

ResolvedMexico vs. Ecuador$231,686 tracked21 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 30, 2026 If Ecuador wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.