This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $133k lifetime. They have a large 525-bet track record, making the wallet itself the main signal. They bought No at 71¢ as the market has moved sharply toward No over the last day.

Part of: Elon Musk # tweets June 5 - June 12, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,065.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 100 4.5 50 (1)

Notable Trades

84% winner buying NO

Sharp wallet with an 84% win rate and +$133k lifetime P&L bought No despite only a modest alert score.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $133k lifetime.
They have a large 525-bet track record, making the wallet itself the main signal.
They bought No at 71¢ as the market has moved sharply toward No over the last day.

$1,065 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 32630653, $256,020
0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 62027273, $13,322
0x02b4...7092 — Outcome 62027273, $10,229 (30% win rate)
0x77c8...bc8c — Outcome 62027273, $10,002 (37% win rate)
0x01b8...82c1 — Outcome 62027273, $8,907 (65% win rate)
0x0f7f...6450 — Outcome 62027273, $8,400 (20% win rate)
0x2ef2...7f72 — Outcome 62027273, $5,000 (39% win rate)
0xe372...eb38 — Outcome 62027273, $4,994
0x9034...4375 — Outcome 62027273, $4,621 (34% win rate)
0x863b...4f2c — Outcome 62027273, $4,521

Related Theses

Anthropic IPO won’t happen by deadline

Covers 1 related market

Nationals will defeat the Braves

Covers 1 related market

Musk will post 90-114 tweets

Covers 1 related market

Athletics will beat the Red Sox

Covers 1 related market

Musk Will Post 40-64 Tweets

Covers 1 related market

Royals will beat the Tigers

Covers 1 related market

Musk will post 40+ tweets

Covers 1 related market

France wins big over Paraguay

Covers 3 related markets

SpaceX valuation markets mispriced

Covers 4 related markets

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets June 5 - June 12, 2026?$1,065 tracked1 signalCulturePoliticsTweet MarketsRewards Automation 100 4.5 50 (1)

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 5 12:00 PM ET to June 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.