This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $133k lifetime. They have a large 525-bet track record, making the wallet itself the main signal. They bought No at 71¢ as the market has moved sharply toward No over the last day.

Part of: Elon Musk # tweets June 5 - June 12, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 5 12:00 PM ET to June 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,065.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 100 4.5 50 (1)

Notable Trades

84% winner buying NO

Sharp wallet with an 84% win rate and +$133k lifetime P&L bought No despite only a modest alert score.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $133k lifetime.
They have a large 525-bet track record, making the wallet itself the main signal.
They bought No at 71¢ as the market has moved sharply toward No over the last day.

$1,065 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%