Part of: Mexico vs. England
Will England win on 2026-07-05?
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $174,845.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
96% winner buying England
Surfaced via sharp-wallet override: a highly profitable bettor with a 96% resolved win rate bought England Yes at 39¢ despite only a weak alert signal.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $323K lifetime.
- They bought England at 39¢, implying they see value versus the market’s 38–39¢ price.
- The market is very liquid, so the edge comes from the wallet’s strong track record rather than trade size.
$1,121 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%
96% winner fading England
Elite 96% winner with $1.2M profit is making a large England No bet amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $1.2M lifetime.
- They have a huge cross-market track record: 70 events, 84 markets, and $3.2M traded.
- A $38.6k buy on No comes during a 989x pre-event volume spike.
$38,585 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
Elite 88% winner buying Yes
Elite 88% lifetime bettor with $3.3M profit bought England Yes amid a huge pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 1,330 markets with over $10.7M traded.
- Market volume is surging nearly 989x above its historical average, adding momentum to the Yes buy.
$1,656 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
96% winner backs No
Elite sports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and $1.2M lifetime profit placed $130.6k on No amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $1.2M lifetime.
- They put $130.6k on No at 61¢, a concentrated bet from a proven account.
- This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 69 events with the same 96% win record.
$130,596 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
93% winner backing Yes
Despite the weak new-wallet signal, this is worth surfacing because the bettor has an exceptional 93% resolved win rate and nearly $900k lifetime profit.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $897k lifetime.
- They have deployed over $5.1M historically, making this a proven sharp wallet rather than a random $1k bet.
- Entry at 40¢ implies they see England as materially underpriced.
$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
87% winner buying Yes
Sharp sports bettor with an 87% win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying England Yes at 40¢ despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $71.6K lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market sports record: 55 events and $160.6K traded.
- Entry at 40¢ implies they see England as underpriced versus the market.
$1,888 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0x03e8...1697 — Outcome 28156364, $769,696 (58% win rate)
- 0x5b4e...0232 — Outcome 28156364, $600,000 (95% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 28156364, $434,713
- 0xa8e0...ad50 — Outcome 28156364, $170,000 (61% win rate)
- 0x1d2e...896d — Outcome 28156364, $149,999 (58% win rate)
- 0x7c1e...bab3 — Outcome 28156364, $100,000 (98% win rate)
- 0x20b9...4aff — Outcome 28156364, $100,000
- 0x1a2f...647a — Outcome 28156364, $69,165 (67% win rate)
- 0xaa0e...2a0e — Outcome 28156364, $59,000 (77% win rate)
- 0x5ad7...ae48 — Outcome 28156364, $50,000 (98% win rate)
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