Five wallets bought the same side, totaling about $107k in Yes exposure. This wallet added a large $57k Yes buy and already holds about $1.74M on the same side. The market has moved from a 33¢ entry to 62¢, so the edge may already be mostly gone.

Part of: England vs. Argentina

Will England win on 2026-07-15?

16 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,435,623.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

5-wallet Yes surge

Coordinated Yes buying plus a major volume spike drove the market sharply upward, though the lead wallet has a poor lifetime record and the trade is already far above entry.

Five wallets bought the same side, totaling about $107k in Yes exposure.
This wallet added a large $57k Yes buy and already holds about $1.74M on the same side.
The market has moved from a 33¢ entry to 62¢, so the edge may already be mostly gone.

$57,287 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 47%

97% winner joins 33-wallet surge

Elite 97% win-rate wallet is adding a $62.5k Yes bet alongside a 33-wallet one-sided surge into England.

This bettor has won 31 of 32 resolved positions and is up $1.9M lifetime.
They are adding to an existing England Yes position, bringing this wallet’s stake to about $240k at 35¢.
33 wallets are all buying Yes, totaling $280k, with market volume spiking 23.6x above normal.

$62,506 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%

99% winner adding big

Elite 99% win-rate wallet is adding $128k to an already large No position, with seven wallets also buying the same side into a volume spike.

This bettor has won 68 of 69 resolved bets and is up $3.19M lifetime.
They are adding $128k to an existing No position, bringing this market exposure above $568k.
Seven wallets are buying No together, with market volume running 23.5x above normal.

$128,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%

New whale joins 10-wallet Yes flow

A brand-new wallet is adding massive size to Yes alongside 10-wallet one-sided flow and a large pre-event volume spike, though it has no resolved track record yet.

A 3-hour-old wallet bought $200K of Yes and has already built a $552K position at 36¢.
10 wallets are all betting Yes in the same window, totaling $314K of one-sided flow.
Market volume is surging at 29x its historical pace ahead of the match.

$200,000 on Yes

Serial sharp adding to No

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with an 86% resolved win rate is adding $108k to an existing No position, alongside same-direction flow from 4 wallets.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades across 97 markets and is a serial cross-market trader.
They added $108k to an existing No position, bringing disclosed exposure on this market to about $290k.
Four wallets bought the same side for $131k total during an 18.6x volume spike.

$108,005 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

93% winner adding Yes

Sharp sports wallet with a 93% resolved win rate is adding to an existing England Yes position at 35¢.

This bettor has won 14 of 15 resolved trades and is up about $7.9K lifetime.
They are adding another $5K to an existing Yes position, bringing total exposure on this market above $19K.
Entry at 35¢ implies they see a roughly 2.9x payout if England wins in regulation.

$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%

99% winner net buying No

Surface: a highly profitable 99% win-rate serial cross-market bettor is net buying No despite some hedging/arbitrage on both sides.

This bettor has won 68 of 69 resolved positions and is up $3.2M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $3.6M deployed across 83 events and a 99% hit rate.
After hedging both sides, the wallet is still net exposed to England not winning at a 63¢ entry.

$130,330 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%

95% winner adding Yes

Sharp sports bettor with a 95% resolved win rate is adding to an existing England Yes position at 35¢.

This bettor has won 20 of 21 resolved trades and is up $38.5K lifetime.
They are adding to an existing England Yes position, bringing total invested on this side above $13K.
Entry at 35¢ implies they see this as a nearly 3x payout opportunity.

$3,453 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

Sharp funded cluster adds

A proven profitable sports bettor with an 88% resolved win rate is adding to an existing Yes position, with linked-wallet context supporting the signal.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $40.9k lifetime.
They are adding to an existing Yes position, bringing total invested on this side to about $9.3k.
Entry at 35¢ implies they see a roughly 2.9x payoff if it wins.

$2,397 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

Sharp funded cluster adds

A proven profitable sports bettor with an 88% resolved win rate is adding to an existing Yes position, with linked-wallet context supporting the signal.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $40.9k lifetime.
They are adding to an existing Yes position, bringing total invested on this side to about $9.3k.
Entry at 35¢ implies they see a roughly 2.9x payoff if it wins.

$2,414 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

0x8042...3680 — Outcome 27980003, $1,701,304
0x709e...66f5 — Outcome 62975583, $1,414,235 (47% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 27980003, $1,335,818
0xc29e...a2ca — Outcome 62975583, $1,107,889 (44% win rate)
0xca5d...c370 — Outcome 62975583, $551,724
0x8a26...73c3 — Outcome 62975583, $266,740 (100% win rate)
0x43b8...430a — Outcome 62975583, $205,885
0x85f0...3f67 — Outcome 62975583, $200,000 (98% win rate)
0xe221...06f6 — Outcome 62975583, $177,777 (97% win rate)
0x0d2d...7ff5 — Outcome 62975583, $120,672 (59% win rate)

Related Theses

Portugal wins July 2

Covers 1 related market

Will England win on 2026-07-15?

ResolvedEngland vs. Argentina$1,435,623 tracked16 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 15, 2026 If England wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No”

102¢

81¢

61¢