Will England win on 2026-09-26?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 26, 2026 If England wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $87,898.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, UEFA Nations League, UNL Matchday

Notable Trades

Elite wallets coordinate on England No

Eight wallets deployed $66,046 against England, including a bettor with 99% wins and $5.46M lifetime profit, creating unusually strong coordinated conviction despite recent Yes momentum.

  • Eight wallets committed $66,046 to No, including $32,330 from a bettor with 99% wins across 87 resolved positions.
  • The strongest wallet is up $5.46M lifetime and is buying No around 45¢, implying it sees meaningful value against the 61% Yes price.
  • The trade moves against a 30.5% one-day rise in Yes, making the coordinated counter-position especially notable.

$66,046 on No

Four-wallet No concentration

Four wallets are concentrated on No and include a highly experienced serial trader, although this individual trade appears to close a previously losing Yes position rather than add fresh conviction.

  • Four wallets are buying No with $19,193 concentrated on the same outcome.
  • This trader has resolved 4,755 bets, a 77% win rate, and $193,496 lifetime profit.
  • The trade appears to close an existing Yes position, so the signal is weaker than a fresh No entry.

$2,440 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

Experienced wallets buying England

Four experienced wallets coordinated a large Yes position, including an 84% winner, while pushing England from roughly 31% to 56%.

  • Four wallets committed $10,802 to Yes, with one bettor winning 84% of 1,848 resolved markets.
  • The strongest entries were around 31–32¢, implying substantial upside if England's true chance is above the market's original pricing.
  • The coordinated buying helped drive Yes up about 25 percentage points to 56%, corroborating the directional conviction.

$11,411 on Yes

91% win-rate serial trader

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 91% win rate bought No before the market moved sharply toward No.

  • This bettor has won 91% of 222 resolved trades and is up $312,027.
  • They bought No at 73¢, and the market has since risen to 84¢ while Yes fell 15 percentage points in a day.
  • The trader has positioned across 254 markets and $1.6 million in volume, making this more than an isolated bet.

$5,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp serial bettor adds to No

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 87% win rate and 18-point edge added $3,000 to No before the market moved sharply in that direction.

  • This bettor has won 87% of 498 resolved trades and is up $171,798.
  • They added $3,000 to No at 73¢, increasing an existing position as Yes fell 15 points in one day.
  • The 149-event trading history and 18-point edge over average implied odds make this a credible sharp signal.

$3,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

Related Theses

France or Spain win, not Argentina/England

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France will defeat England

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

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Will England win on 2026-09-26?

$87,898 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesSoccerUEFA Nations LeagueUNL Matchday
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 26, 2026 If England wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Notable Trades

Will England win on 2026-09-26?

2026-09-26 19:58 UTC

$66,046 on No at 45¢

45¢→100¢↑55¢

Will England win on 2026-09-26?

2026-09-26 19:43 UTC

$2,440 on No at 72¢

72¢→100¢↑28¢

Will England win on 2026-09-26?

2026-09-26 20:04 UTC

$11,411 on Yes at 32¢

Will England win on 2026-09-26?

2026-09-26 19:16 UTC

$5,000 on No at 73¢

73¢→100¢↑27¢

Will England win on 2026-09-26?

2026-09-26 19:16 UTC

$3,000 on No at 73¢

73¢→100¢↑27¢

Related Theses