Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,119.
Notable Trades
98% win-rate sharp
A highly profitable sharp wallet with a 98% win rate sold England Yes at 11¢, which translates to buying No at 89¢ in a liquid World Cup market.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up about $883k across 81 bets
- The trade is effectively a buy of England No at 89¢, showing this sharp wallet does not want England exposure even at low Yes odds
- The market is very liquid, so this looks more like a deliberate pricing view from a proven bettor than a random thin-market punt
$1,119 on No | Wallet win rate: 98%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $3,031,902
- 0xe40e...a94d — Yes, $490,125
- 0x56c9...0d9e — Yes, $216,000 (91% win rate)
- 0xc5fa...5b59 — Yes, $199,999
- 0xce84...9e2b — Yes, $119,990
- 0x15c8...d2d0 — Yes, $104,878 (75% win rate)
- 0xdb27...c56e — Yes, $99,883 (89% win rate)
- 0xc808...ceac — Yes, $73,662
- 0xf519...906b — Yes, $66,776 (50% win rate)
- 0x2e3e...abea — Yes, $65,000
