Part of: World Cup Winner
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $460,954.
Categories: Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Tournament Futures
Notable Trades
New wallet World Cup thesis
New 8-day wallet is repeatedly building World Cup positions, including a $3k England Yes buy, but without a resolved track record and in a very liquid market this is mainly a thesis-follow signal rather than proven sharp action.
- This 8-day-old wallet has now made 6 flagged large bets totaling $26.4k.
- The bettor is spreading a World Cup thesis across 5 related markets, with $12.9k in event exposure.
- Entry around 13¢ implies a long-shot England title bet with roughly 7.7x upside if it wins.
$8,083 on Yes
New whale building World Cup book
A very new wallet with $108k in repeat flagged World Cup futures activity is adding England as part of a broader cross-market position, despite no resolved track record yet.
- This 12-day-old wallet has already made $108k in flagged large bets across World Cup markets.
- They are positioned across 5 related markets, suggesting a deliberate futures portfolio rather than a one-off punt.
- England was bought at 11¢, implying a long-shot bet with roughly 9x upside if it wins.
$4,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 6%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Surface because a proven profitable bettor with a 79% record and extensive cross-market history is buying England at 10¢ despite the market being highly liquid.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $40,576 lifetime.
- They have traded across 42 events with a strong record, making the wallet itself the signal.
- Entry at 10¢ implies a 10x payout if England wins the World Cup.
$3,345 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
95% winner backing England
Elite sharp wallet with 95% historical win rate and $4.5M profit bought England Yes despite the market being highly liquid and long-dated.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $4.5M lifetime.
- They have traded across 643 events with $8.7M total volume, suggesting a proven cross-market edge.
- Entry at 7¢ is a long-shot position with roughly 14x payout if England wins.
$5,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
92% winner buying longshot
A proven profitable bettor with a 92% resolved-bet win rate bought England Yes at 7%, making the wallet track record the main signal despite the modest stake and liquid market.
- This bettor has won 24 of 26 resolved bets and is up $5.1K lifetime.
- They bought England at 7¢, a longshot entry with large upside if their edge is real.
- The market is very liquid, so the signal is the bettor’s track record rather than price impact.
$2,444 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
Profitable World Cup sharp
Proven profitable serial cross-market bettor bought $48k of England Yes and has a 76% resolved-bet win rate with $907k lifetime profit.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $907k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.2M deployed across 45 events.
- This is part of a broader World Cup position, with $149k spread across 3 related markets.
$30,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 62%
Profitable World Cup sharp
Proven profitable serial cross-market bettor bought $48k of England Yes and has a 76% resolved-bet win rate with $907k lifetime profit.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $907k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.2M deployed across 45 events.
- This is part of a broader World Cup position, with $149k spread across 3 related markets.
$12,592 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 62%
Sharp World Cup positioner
A proven profitable wallet with an 85% resolved-bet win rate is buying England at 8¢ as part of a broader 7-market World Cup thesis.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $169K lifetime.
- They have put $42K across 7 World Cup markets, suggesting a broader tournament thesis.
- Entry at 8¢ is a long-shot bet with large upside if their read on England is right.
$10,660 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Surface because a proven profitable bettor with a 79% record and extensive cross-market history is buying England at 10¢ despite the market being highly liquid.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $40,576 lifetime.
- They have traded across 42 events with a strong record, making the wallet itself the signal.
- Entry at 10¢ implies a 10x payout if England wins the World Cup.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable World Cup sharp
Proven profitable serial cross-market bettor bought $48k of England Yes and has a 76% resolved-bet win rate with $907k lifetime profit.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $907k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.2M deployed across 45 events.
- This is part of a broader World Cup position, with $149k spread across 3 related markets.
$25,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 62%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $52,325,774
- 0xf031...c80c — Yes, $3,041,766 (89% win rate)
- 0xbddf...c684 — Yes, $1,287,313 (89% win rate)
- 0x4c83...320e — Yes, $1,108,272
- 0xe0f4...e55f — Yes, $1,000,001 (100% win rate)
- 0x21a2...5f83 — Yes, $757,527 (84% win rate)
- 0x2cff...59db — Yes, $681,324 (93% win rate)
- 0x0dcf...c556 — Yes, $622,553 (88% win rate)
- 0xe549...2d54 — Yes, $575,000 (99% win rate)
- 0xc31d...4ebe — Yes, $521,758 (52% win rate)
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