What is the Ethereum $1,000 by 2026 prediction market?

This market lets traders predict whether Ethereum will dip to $1,000 or lower by December 31, 2026, based on Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle low prices.

How does this Polymarket resolve?

The market resolves to Yes if any Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle between Nov. 24, 2025 at 14:00 ET and Dec. 31, 2026 at 23:59 ET has a final Low price at or below $1,000. If that never happens, it resolves to No.

What price source is used for ETH in this market?

The official resolution source is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT market using one-minute candles and the final Low price for each candle.

When will the ETH to $1,000 market settle?

The listed resolution date is January 1, 2027 at 05:00 UTC, after the December 31, 2026 ET trading window has ended.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking?

PolySpotter currently tracks $2,926 in smart money exposure and 1 smart money signal for this market, including alerts tied to crypto cross-market bettors and high-win-rate traders fading an ETH crash.

Part of: What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

This Polymarket market asks whether Ethereum will trade at or below $1,000 on any Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle low between Nov. 24, 2025 and Dec. 31, 2026. It resolves Yes if Binance records a qualifying low at or below $1,000, otherwise No after the resolution window ends on Dec. 31, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $2,926 in smart money activity across 1 signal for this ETH price crash market.

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $85,801.

Categories: Ethereum, Crypto Prices, Hit Price, Crypto, Yearly

Notable Trades

$66k ETH ladder bettor

Surface as a sizable cross-market ETH thesis from a wallet with a strong resolved hit rate, though its lifetime P&L is roughly flat/negative and wins skew toward favorites.

This wallet has won 42 of 47 resolved bets, though mostly on heavy favorites.
It has placed $65.8k across 3 related ETH markets, showing a clear crypto thesis.
This trade buys No at 75¢, betting ETH avoids a $1,000 dip through 2026.

$2,926 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

$66k ETH ladder bettor

Surface as a sizable cross-market ETH thesis from a wallet with a strong resolved hit rate, though its lifetime P&L is roughly flat/negative and wins skew toward favorites.

This wallet has won 42 of 47 resolved bets, though mostly on heavy favorites.
It has placed $65.8k across 3 related ETH markets, showing a clear crypto thesis.
This trade buys No at 75¢, betting ETH avoids a $1,000 dip through 2026.

$2,950 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

$66k ETH ladder bettor

Surface as a sizable cross-market ETH thesis from a wallet with a strong resolved hit rate, though its lifetime P&L is roughly flat/negative and wins skew toward favorites.

This wallet has won 42 of 47 resolved bets, though mostly on heavy favorites.
It has placed $65.8k across 3 related ETH markets, showing a clear crypto thesis.
This trade buys No at 75¢, betting ETH avoids a $1,000 dip through 2026.

$1,659 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

$66k ETH ladder bettor

Surface as a sizable cross-market ETH thesis from a wallet with a strong resolved hit rate, though its lifetime P&L is roughly flat/negative and wins skew toward favorites.

This wallet has won 42 of 47 resolved bets, though mostly on heavy favorites.
It has placed $65.8k across 3 related ETH markets, showing a clear crypto thesis.
This trade buys No at 75¢, betting ETH avoids a $1,000 dip through 2026.

$1,275 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Serial crypto cross-market bettor

High-score alert from a serial cross-market crypto trader closing a No position, equivalent to buying Yes at 28¢, with a strong historical hit rate but negative lifetime P&L.

This bettor has won 41 of 42 resolved bets and has traded across 37 markets.
They are active across related ETH markets, with $31k positioned in this event and $436k traded across similar setups.
Selling No at 72¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 28¢, signaling reduced confidence that ETH avoids $1,000.

$14,437 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

$66k ETH ladder bettor

Surface as a sizable cross-market ETH thesis from a wallet with a strong resolved hit rate, though its lifetime P&L is roughly flat/negative and wins skew toward favorites.

This wallet has won 42 of 47 resolved bets, though mostly on heavy favorites.
It has placed $65.8k across 3 related ETH markets, showing a clear crypto thesis.
This trade buys No at 75¢, betting ETH avoids a $1,000 dip through 2026.

$1,603 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable bettor fading ETH crash

Profitable 75% winner is effectively buying No on an ETH $1,000 crash market, though the edge signal is modest.

This bettor wins 75% of resolved bets and is up $10.7k lifetime.
They are effectively buying No at 72¢, betting ETH will not touch $1,000 by the end of 2026.
The track record is positive, but the signal is modest with only 16 resolved bets.

$1,037 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%

91% winner cross-market whale

A high-win-rate wallet is making a $19.3k NO buy as part of an $81.7k cross-market position against major ETH downside.

This bettor has won 91% of resolved trades and is profitable across 46 outcomes.
They are building a larger $81.7k thesis across 3 related markets, not just making a one-off bet.
Entry at 75¢ means they are backing ETH not to hit $1,000 before the deadline.

$19,316 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

91% winner fades ETH crash

Sharp positive-P&L wallet with a 91% resolved record is adding a large cross-market No position against an ETH $1,000 dip.

This bettor has won 91% of resolved trades and is positive lifetime across $1.4M wagered.
They put $26.9K on No here and $64.6K across 3 related ETH markets.
The position was large for this market, roughly matching or exceeding recent daily volume.

$26,861 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

94% winner fading ETH crash

Sharp 94% lifetime winner added a $9.1k No position across related ETH dip markets, making the wallet track record the main copy signal.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $75k lifetime.
They put $9.1k on No, betting ETH will not dip to $1,000 by the end of 2026.
This is part of a broader $60k cross-market ETH thesis from the same sharp wallet.

$9,092 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%