What does the Ethereum $1,400 July dip market predict?

It predicts whether ETH/USDT on Binance will record a 1-minute candle low price of $1,400 or lower at any point during July 2026.

How does this Polymarket Ethereum market resolve?

The market resolves “Yes” immediately if any Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle during the specified July window has a final low price equal to or below $1,400. If that never happens, it resolves “No.”

What price source is used for the ETH $1,400 dip market?

The resolution source is Binance ETH/USDT, specifically the low prices shown on the 1-minute chart for the relevant July trading period.

When does the Ethereum $1,400 July market end?

The market covers July 2026 from 00:00 ET on July 1 through 23:59 ET on July 31, with resolution scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 04:00 UTC.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking for this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $12,420 in smart money exposure and 1 signal for this market, including a recent alert titled “Cross-market ETH dip fade.”

Part of: What price will Ethereum hit in July?

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?

This prediction market asks whether Ethereum will dip to $1,400 or lower during July 2026 based on Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle low prices. It resolves “Yes” if any eligible candle records a low at or below $1,400 from July 1 through July 31 ET, and “No” otherwise, with final resolution scheduled for August 1, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $12,420 in smart money activity and 1 recent signal, while live Polymarket pricing reflects the current implied odds.

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $12,420.

Categories: Monthly, Crypto Prices, Ethereum, Hit Price, Crypto, Recurring

Notable Trades

Cross-market ETH dip fade

A single wallet made a sizable No bet and has built a broader cross-market thesis against a deep ETH dip, though its long-term track record is not strong.

This wallet put $12.4k on No, taking about 90% of the recent quiet-market volume.
The same bettor has $25.9k spread across 5 related ETH markets, suggesting a broader view rather than a one-off trade.
Entry at 69¢ implies they see the market as underpricing the chance ETH stays above $1,400 in July.

$12,420 on No | Wallet win rate: 47%