Part of: Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso

Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,995.

Notable Trades

95% sports sharp fading favorite

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 95% resolved-bet record made a contrarian Cadenasso buy, but the market has since moved sharply against the position.

This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $86.6K lifetime.
They have traded across 65 events with the same 95% success rate.
Entry was 48¢ on a long-shot outcome, though the market has since fallen to 1¢.

$1,514 on Gianluca Cadenasso | Wallet win rate: 95%

99% winner backs favorite

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 76-1 resolved record bought Matteo Arnaldi at 54¢, suggesting meaningful confidence despite modest size.

This bettor has won 76 of 77 resolved trades and is up $63.5K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 109 events with a 99% resolved win record.
Entry at 54¢ implies they see value before the market moves much above a coin flip.

$1,481 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 71171300, $7,379 (70% win rate)
0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 71171300, $4,698 (80% win rate)
0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 71171300, $3,500 (90% win rate)
0x0165...8235 — Outcome 71171300, $3,154 (95% win rate)
0x4df3...788f — Outcome 71171300, $1,118 (70% win rate)
0x7479...e171 — Outcome 71171300, $607
0xf02f...1ed8 — Outcome 71171300, $544 (81% win rate)
0x4ec8...762a — Outcome 71171300, $408 (66% win rate)
0xa159...ac8e — Outcome 71171300, $357
0x7e56...55bb — Outcome 71171300, $263

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso

ResolvedCagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenasso$2,995 tracked2 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and Gianluca Cadenasso in the Cagliari, originally scheduled for May 2, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Gianluca Cadenasso. This market will resolve to 'Gianluca Cadenasso' if Gianluca Cadenasso advances against Matteo Arnaldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.