Part of: What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

This Polymarket market asks whether Ethereum will reach $3,500 at any point by December 31, 2026, based on the high price of any 1-minute ETH/USDT candle on Binance. It resolves Yes if ETH hits or exceeds $3,500 during the specified window; otherwise it resolves No after the deadline. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,711 in smart money activity on this market, including a recent signal from an 85% winner buying No.

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,711.

Categories: Ethereum, Crypto Prices, Hit Price, Crypto, Yearly

Notable Trades

85% winner buying NO

Sharp wallet override: a bettor with 85% wins over 100 resolved markets and positive lifetime P&L bought No despite only a weak low-activity signal.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $28.7K lifetime.
  • They put $1.7K on No at 77¢ in a quiet market with only about $3.3K traded today.
  • The market has moved against Yes recently, with Yes down 12.5% over the past week.

$1,711 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5b63...11a4 — No, $16,781 (70% win rate)
  2. 0xbace...3429 — No, $13,875 (80% win rate)
  3. 0xd733...1b2e — No, $11,940 (60% win rate)
  4. 0xed36...e096 — Yes, $10,397 (92% win rate)
  5. 0x252d...c456 — Yes, $7,005 (47% win rate)
  6. 0x9181...71ec — Yes, $6,514
  7. 0x3a3a...ee52 — Yes, $5,101
  8. 0x9e9a...a9a8 — No, $4,850 (93% win rate)
  9. 0xe60f...f4b4 — No, $4,066
  10. 0x25dc...e33b — No, $3,800 (54% win rate)

Related Theses

Anthropic stays below $2T

Covers 2 related markets

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

224dWhat price will Ethereum hit in 2026?$1,711 tracked1 signalEthereumCrypto PricesHit PriceCryptoYearly
Yes
24¢
No
77¢

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Price History — “No”
78¢
70¢
62¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

2h ago

$1,711 on No at 77¢

77¢→77¢

Related Theses

Anthropic stays below $2T
Wallet_0xc443d trades 2 related markets
Will Anthropic's valuation hit…Will Anthropic's valuation hit…