How does this Ethereum $3,500 Polymarket resolve?

The market resolves Yes if any Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle from Nov. 24, 2025 at 14:00 ET through Dec. 31, 2026 at 23:59 ET records a final High price equal to or above $3,500. If that never happens, it resolves No.

What price source is used for this ETH prediction market?

The resolution source is Binance, using ETH/USDT 1-minute candle High prices. Other exchanges or spot ETH prices outside Binance do not determine the outcome.

When does the Ethereum $3,500 market end?

The relevant trading window runs through Dec. 31, 2026 at 23:59 ET, with resolution scheduled for Jan. 1, 2027 UTC. If ETH hits the target before then, the market can resolve immediately to Yes.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking on this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $5,336 in smart money and 1 smart money signal on this market, including recent alerts mentioning profitable ETH bear activity and a funded cluster winner.

Part of: What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

Q: Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

This prediction market prices the chance that ETH trades at or above $3,500 on Binance ETH/USDT before the end of Dec. 31, 2026. A Yes outcome requires at least one qualifying 1-minute candle with a final High price of $3,500 or higher.

This Polymarket asks whether Ethereum will reach $3,500 on Binance ETH/USDT before the end of December 31, 2026. It resolves Yes if any 1-minute Binance candle between Nov. 24, 2025 and Dec. 31, 2026 has a final High price of $3,500 or more; otherwise it resolves No after the deadline. PolySpotter is tracking $5,336 in smart money activity and 1 signal for this ETH price market.

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $32,101.

Categories: Ethereum, Crypto Prices, Hit Price, Crypto, Yearly

Notable Trades

Profitable whale betting NO

Profitable high-volume wallet is adding a NO position as part of a $96k cross-market ETH thesis, with this trade large relative to recent market activity.

This bettor is up about $928k lifetime across more than $39M in trades.
They have built a $96k cross-market position around this ETH event.
This $4.2k NO buy was over 2x the market’s recent 24h volume, showing conviction in a quieter book.

$5,336 on No | Wallet win rate: 51%

Profitable whale betting NO

Profitable high-volume wallet is adding a NO position as part of a $96k cross-market ETH thesis, with this trade large relative to recent market activity.

This bettor is up about $928k lifetime across more than $39M in trades.
They have built a $96k cross-market position around this ETH event.
This $4.2k NO buy was over 2x the market’s recent 24h volume, showing conviction in a quieter book.

$4,199 on No | Wallet win rate: 51%

102-0 crypto bettor

Surface due to sharp-wallet override: this trader is 102-0 on resolved bets with positive lifetime P&L and is buying No on a related ETH market.

This bettor has won 102 of 102 resolved trades and is up $48,874 lifetime.
They put $3,043 on No here and $4,286 across 2 related ETH markets.
Buying No at 87¢ suggests they see ETH staying below $3,500 through 2026.

$3,042 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

99% winner in funded cluster

Sharp profitable wallet with a 99% resolved-bet record is buying No, and it belongs to an 18-wallet funded cluster.

This bettor has won 103 of 104 resolved trades and is up $76,340 lifetime.
The wallet is part of an 18-wallet group funded by the same address, suggesting coordinated positioning.
They bought No at 87¢ while the market trades around 86% No odds.

$1,216 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%

99% winner in funded cluster

A proven 99% winning wallet with $76k profit is buying No, backed by an 18-wallet shared-funder cluster despite the modest single-trade size.

This bettor has won 103 of 104 resolved trades and is up $76,340 lifetime.
The wallet belongs to an 18-wallet shared-funder cluster, suggesting coordinated conviction on this side.
Buying No at 86¢ means they are backing ETH not touching $3,500 by the end of 2026.

$2,404 on No | Wallet win rate: 99%

102-0 high-probability bettor

Surface despite a modest signal because the wallet has a 102-0 resolved record and positive lifetime P&L, now buying No across related ETH price markets.

This bettor has won 102 of 102 resolved bets and is up $48,874 lifetime.
They are positioning across 2 related ETH markets, with about $2,446 total on the same broader thesis.
Buying No at 86¢ suggests a high-confidence, lower-upside trade rather than a long-shot bet.

$1,202 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable ETH bear scaling in

Profitable high-volume wallet is building a larger bearish ETH price thesis across related markets, with this No buy representing a large share of recent volume.

This wallet is up $846k lifetime across 1,458 resolved bets.
It has placed $78.5k across related ETH price markets, suggesting a broader bearish thesis.
This $4.4k No buy was about 58% of recent daily volume.

$4,399 on No | Wallet win rate: 51%

Profitable ETH bear

Profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broader bearish ETH thesis, with $76k across related markets and this trade nearly matching recent daily volume.

This wallet is up about $830k lifetime and has traded over $37M in resolved markets.
The bettor has put $76k across related ETH markets, suggesting a broader bearish crypto thesis.
This buy was about 92% of the market’s recent 24h volume, a meaningful move in a quieter book.

$2,414 on No | Wallet win rate: 51%

Profitable ETH bear whale

Profitable high-volume wallet is building a cross-market bearish ETH thesis, with this $4k No buy larger than the market’s full 24h volume.

This wallet is up $830k lifetime across 1,449 resolved bets.
They have put $78k across related ETH markets, suggesting a broader bearish thesis.
This $4k No buy was about 180% of the market’s 24h volume.

$4,038 on No | Wallet win rate: 51%

Profitable ETH cross-market bettor

Moderately notable ETH upside positioning from a profitable cross-market bettor adding a sizeable bet in a quiet market, though the wallet’s edge is not elite.

This bettor is up about $9k lifetime and has won 68% of 31 resolved bets.
They have put nearly $7k across 3 related ETH markets, suggesting a broader bullish thesis.
This $2.1k trade was about 65% of recent daily volume, a meaningful bet in a quiet order book.

$2,138 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%